Fantasy football is more than just the weekly head-to-head games we’ve all grown to love. On Underdog, fantasy managers can put their player-projection skills to the test by predicting player stat lines. Here are my top Underdog plays for the Sunday slate of Week 7 games.
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Top Underdog Pick’ems for Week 7
Underdog Pick’ems allows fantasy managers to predict stat lines and fantasy-point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. You can make two picks that pay out 3x, even money, or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts.
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The levels are 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, progressing with each additional pick’em you add to your entry. Let’s look at this week’s Underdog Pick’ems for the Sunday slate.
For the Sunday slate, there are far more games than the individual prime-time games. Underdog entries are limited to five pick’ems. Most weeks, there will be more than five pick’ems I like. Additionally, hitting a five-pick-’em entry is hard. I don’t want to consistently go 3-2 or 4-1 and lose.
As a result, I will limit this list to my favorite picks of the week. I will try and keep it to no more than 10 maximum. At the bottom of this article, I used to provide my pick’em entry, which consists of three to four of my top pick’ems.
Unfortunately, due to new regulations in New York, I can no longer play these myself. To compensate, I will list the pick’ems in order of confidence.
Keaontay Ingram Lower Than 36.5 Rushing Yards
One of my favorite pick’ems to take is the seemingly too-low (but not low enough) yardage totals on bad players. Not only does Keaontay Ingram have a career of 2.3 yards-per-carry average, he gets to face the No.1 defense at stopping the run.
The Seahawks are allowing just 2.7 YPC to opposing backs. With the Cardinals touchdown underdogs, a negative game script should force them to abandon the run, preventing Ingram from producing his way there.
Gus Edwards Lower Than 44.5 Rushing Yards
You can’t run on the Lions. They allow just 3.1 YPC and 47 rushing yards a game to running backs. A running back seeing a ton of volume would have trouble reaching 46 yards against them. Gus Edwards is not seeing a ton of volume.
The Ravens split their backfield between Edwards and Justice Hill. Last week, Edwards saw a season-high 16 carries. He is in the 10-12 range typically. Yet, he still ran for just 41 yards against the Titan’s stout run defense. We have a similarly tough matchup this week. I’m expecting similar results.
Davante Adams Higher Than 5.5 Receptions
Over the first four weeks, Davante Adams saw 50 targets. He caught at least six passes in every game. Over his past two games, Adams has nine targets and just six receptions.
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Adams spoke openly and candidly about his feelings toward his usage this week. Simply put, he wants the ball. I am buying the Adams squeaky wheel narrative. The Raiders will make it a point to pepper him with targets early and often. He should have every opportunity to catch 6+ balls in this one.
Nelson Agholor Higher Than 22.5 Receiving Yards
I just mentioned how you can’t run on the Lions. Conventional wisdom suggests that means the Ravens will have to throw. Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews are the top two targets for Lamar Jackson. However, the Ravens are souring on Rashod Bateman (for good reason).
Over his past four games, Nelson Agholor has run at least 24 routes in every game. He’s gone higher than this number in three of them. He can get there on just two catches.
Courtland Sutton Lower Than 8.55 Fantasy Points
In Underdog’s half-PPR scoring, this is a pretty difficult number to reach, especially for players who aren’t particularly good. Courtland Sutton has gotten there in five out of six games this season. So, why not go higher? If you remove his touchdowns, he’d only have gotten there twice.
Sutton has been the beneficiary of four touchdowns in six games. That is simply not going to persist. Just 58% of the receiving yards allowed by the Packers have gone to WRs. We also may be looking at a Jerry Jeudy squeaky wheel game, which will limit Sutton’s production. If he doesn’t score, I’m confident he stays below this projection.
