If you’re planning to bet on Week 8 NFL player props for Thursday Night Football’s splendiferous Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Baltimore Ravens matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.
Top Buccaneers vs. Ravens Player Props To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
MORE: NFL Week 8 Picks and Predictions Against the Spread
Leonard Fournette Player Props
There’s nothing safe about taking the over on Leonard Fournette these days, especially in the running game, where he’s averaging a measly 3.5 yards per carry. But I’m betting on a game script that favors Tampa Bay, which simply cannot afford to lose its fifth game in six weeks. I think Fournette will figure prominently against a defense yielding 4.5 yards per carry.
Rushing attempts over 12.5
(-122) — FanDuel
Rushing yards over 48.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Receptions over 3.5
(-166) — FanDuel
Receiving yards over 28.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Score first TD
(+700) — FanDuel
Tom Brady Player Props
Tom Brady has hit 271+ passing yards in four of his last five contests. Of course, he’s been playing behind a lot more than usual. But I believe tonight will be a statement game for the deservedly proud QB who doesn’t want his final season to be one of his worst. Baltimore presents a favorable matchup.
Passing yards over 275.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Passing TD’s over 1.5
(-138) — FanDuel
Mike Evans Player Props
If he’s out there, I don’t think he’ll be a decoy. Mike Evans should produce at normal levels, if not better, against a defense yielding the fourth-most receiving yards.
Receptions over 4.5
(-145) — DraftKings
Receiving yards over 67.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Chris Godwin Player Props
Seven or more receptions seems a little high, but I like Chris Godwin breaking at least one big play, resulting in 80+ yards. For all the re-tooling Tampa Bay has done in the passing game since Brady’s arrival in 2020, Godwin (and Evans) are the constants for a reason.
Receptions under 6.5
(+105) — DraftKings
Receiving yards over 70.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Cade Otton Player Props
What’s not to like about rookie Cade Otton? Brady already clearly trusts him, and he’s earning enough volume to push for top-12 TE attention. From where I’m sitting, his low betting lines haven’t yet caught up to his weekly potential.
Receiving yards over 28.5
(-120) — DraftKings
Lamar Jackson Player Props
Relatively speaking, Lamar Jackson has struggled over the last four games. Scratch that. It’s not “relatively speaking.” He has three scores during this stretch while exceeding 174 passing yards only once. The Bucs are coming off a road loss for the ages. At home, in a must-win contest to return to .500, Tampa Bay should take this one.
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Specifically, the Bucs are giving up only 5.8 yards per pass attempt, which is fourth-best in the league. At 5.8 yards per attempt, Jackson would need to throw it 37 times tonight. His high this season is 32. And he might need a lot of help from secondary receivers to rack up those yards. It doesn’t look promising.
Passing yards under 211.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Passing TD’s under 1.5
(-140) — DraftKings
Gus Edwards Player Props
First of all, Gus Edwards is for real. He averaged 5.0+ yards per carry in each of his first three seasons. But he’s also one-dimensional, with 96% of his career touches coming on the ground. In a negate game script, I envision Baltimore shifting away from Edwards in the second half as they attempt to mount a furious comeback.
Rushing yards under 46.5
(-114) — FanDuel
