Should I Draft Tee Higgins? Fantasy Outlook for the Bengals WR in 2025

The Bengals brought back Tee Higgins after a big season. Should fantasy football managers embrace his discount over Ja’Marr Chase’s price?

Tee Higgins’ contract was part of the drama this offseason, but he’s back as a key contributor to this explosive offense for another season after signing a new deal. He’s missed 10 games over the past two seasons, but he’s entering only his age-26 season and is coming off a year that saw him catch a career-best 10 touchdown passes.

Should you consider Cincinnati’s second receiver an option to fill the WR1 void on your fantasy football roster in 2025?

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Tee Higgins’ Fantasy Outlook

It’s easy to glance at Higgins’ game log from a season ago and think that the huge Week 17 performance against the Broncos (11-131-3) elevated his numbers to a level above what he can sustain, but that’s not the case.

Yes, that was a great game, and it fueled him as the fourth-highest scoring receiver from Weeks 11-17. That’s true. He was better in terms of production over expectation during those weeks than Ja’Marr Chase, flashing upside that is rare for a secondary option. But it’s not as if we hadn’t seen such stats pile up before. Higgins was WR5 in Weeks 5-7, once he got his season on the rails.

When all was said and done in 2024, despite playing across from the sixth receiving Triple Crown winner, he posted career highs in receptions (6.1) and targets (9.1) per game. He averaged 18.5 PPR points per game (WR5) and gave you not one, not two, but three weekly finishes even better than that.

There were minor blips on the radar, but that happens for 95% of receivers, if not more. He had three weeks where he wasn’t a top-30 PPR receiver during the fantasy season, and that hurts when it happens, though it should be noted that Brian Thomas Jr. (four such games) and A.J. Brown (six), among others, had similar blemish rates.

Outside of those outliers, there is nothing to pick apart in this profile. The gravity that Chase provides allows Higgins to overachieve target expectation consistently (career: 11.6% better than NFL average given his target quality), and 2024 wasn’t some sort of unsustainable run of efficiency (+10.6%). He made the most of seeing at least one end zone target in two-thirds of his games and gave his managers a career-best 2.06 PPR points per target.

What allowed for that level of success?

Higgins posted the lowest average depth of target (11.2 yards), and while that trims some of the upside off of his overall profile, the floor-raising nature of it more than covers the downside.

In eight of his 11 games during the fantasy season, he caught at least five passes, a level of involvement that, given his playmaking acumen, makes him as close to a sure thing week-over-week once you get outside of the receivers being selected in the first round of fantasy drafts this season.

For Higgins to fail this season, it would require an injury or drastic improvements on the defensive end that significantly change the game environment that he so often benefited from in 2024.

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We draft deep rosters to protect against missed games, and I don’t want to speak for you, but I see no reason to think that Cincinnati, after last year’s 28th-place finish in PFSN’s Defense+ Rankings, will trend toward the middle third of NFL defenses.

Drafting Higgins passes every smell test, and the cautious approach that some managers have around drafting a WR2 on his team has kept his price as reasonable in what I expect to be another very profitable season, and one that lands him a new deal in the offseason.

Frank Ammirante’s Tee Higgins Projection

Tee Higgins is coming off a terrific season for the Bengals, where he caught 73-of-109 targets for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns in only 12 games. He is a 26-year-old wideout in his prime, playing for a pass-heavy Bengals team that will be involved in several high-scoring games due to an exploitable defense.

The problem with Higgins is that he has trouble staying on the field for a full season. Higgins has missed five games in each of the last two years. As someone who is going in the early third round, that makes him a bit of a risky pick. Now, obviously anyone can get injured, but there’s something to be said about players like this, who always seem to get banged up.

While I understand the appeal with Higgins, if I wanted a No. 2 option in a pass-heavy offense, I’d simply wait two rounds and take George Pickens, who is set to soar to new heights with the Cowboys.

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