There are still a ways to go in the 2025 NFL season, but for some teams, the year has been a dumpster fire already. As a result, their focus and priorities have changed, with the organization now looking towards the 2026 NFL Draft in search of its next playmaker.
Through six weeks, there are some teams that have been suitably bad enough to be among the front-runners to the first overall pick. However, some surprise wins and upsets tightened up the pool quite a bit. Which team is currently on pace to pick No. 1 overall in 2026?
2026 NFL Draft Order After Week 6
Here is the current 2026 NFL Draft order after Week 5.
- New York Jets, 0-6
- Cleveland Browns, 1-5
- Baltimore Ravens, 1-5
- Miami Dolphins, 1-5
- New Orleans Saints, 1-5
- Tennessee Titans, 1-5
- Cincinnati Bengals, 2-4
- Las Vegas Raiders, 2-4
- New York Giants, 2-4
- Arizona Cardinals, 2-4
- Houston Texans, 2-3
- Dallas Cowboys, 2-3-1
- Carolina Panthers, 3-3
- Kansas City Chiefs, 2-3
- Washington Commanders, 3-3
- Chicago Bears, 3-2
- Atlanta Falcons, 3-2 (belongs to Rams)
- Minnesota Vikings, 3-2
- Buffalo Bills, 4-2
- Denver Broncos, 4-2
- Jacksonville Jaguars, 4-2 (belongs to Browns)
- Los Angeles Rams, 4-2
- Detroit Lions, 4-2
- Seattle Seahawks, 4-2
- New England Patriots, 4-2
- Los Angeles Chargers, 4-2
- San Francisco 49ers, 4-2
- Philadelphia Eagles, 4-2
- Green Bay Packers, 3-1-1 (belongs to Cowboys)
- Pittsburgh Steelers, 4-1
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 5-1
- Indianapolis Colts, 5-1
Which Team Has the Best Chance To Land the Top Pick?
PFSN’s Playoff Predictor not only predicts the playoff picture and Super Bowl winner, it also predicts which team will land the No. 1 overall pick in the upcoming NFL Draft.
This week brought plenty of movement on that front, however, with some unexpected results all across the NFL landscape. That trend began during the Thursday Night Football game that kicked off the Week 6 slate.
Game winner, cue the music
📺 FOX pic.twitter.com/HeBTfK1Uye
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) October 12, 2025
In one of the biggest upsets of the season, the New York Giants were able to pull out the win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only did they secure the second victory of Jaxson Dart’s career, but they did it without wide receivers Malik Nabers and Darius Slayton and in dominating fashion, upending the defending champions by a 34-17 score.
The next surprise came on Sunday, when the Carolina Panthers pushed their record to 3-3 by beating the Dallas Cowboys, 30-27. Bryce Young put together an impressive performance, completing 17 of 25 passes for 199 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Ranked 31st in PFSN’s QB Impact before the game, his performance gave him a deserved boost up the NFL hierarchy.
Leading a last-minute drive, Young set up Carolina for a game-winning field goal, handing Dallas its third loss of the season while booting his Panthers out of the top 10 in terms of teams with the highest odds to land the first overall pick.
Following Sunday afternoon’s results, here are the teams with the best chance of securing the top pick:
- New York Jets, 28.6%
- Cleveland Browns, 15.2%
- Tennessee Titans, 14.2%
- New Orleans Saints, 10.4%
- Miami Dolphins, 9.2%
- Baltimore Ravens, 7.1%
- Cincinnati Bengals, 4.0%
- Las Vegas Raiders, 3.3%
- Dallas Cowboys, 2.8%
- New York Giants, 1.9%
- Arizona Cardinals, 1.6%
