It hasn’t been a fun season so far for New York Jets QB Zach Wilson, but a prime-time game against the defending Super Bowl champions presents an opportunity to turn things around. We’ll give you Wilson’s player props and a best prop bet prediction to consider for tonight’s matchup.
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Zach Wilson Week 4 Player Props
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Passing Yards: 174.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Completions: 16.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Pass Attempts: 28.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Longest Completion: 31.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Rushing Yards: 14.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass/Rush Yards: 192.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +600
- First Touchdown Scorer: +3000
Wilson Betting Trends and Stats
Wilson (69.2) is the only quarterback with a sub-75 passer rating since 2021 (min: 500 pass attempts).
Wilson Best Bet
When discussing Wilson’s struggles, where do you begin?
Along with the NFL-worst passer rating, Wilson ranks at the bottom among all quarterbacks since 2021 in completion percentage (54.9%) and touchdown-interception ratio (17-22).
After a solid start to the season, when he replaced an injured Aaron Rodgers and led the Jets to a win over the Bills, Wilson has one TD pass and three interceptions in the two games since.
His numbers last week vs. the Patriots (50.0% completions percentage, 61.9 passer rating) were better than in Week 2 vs. the Cowboys (44% comp pct, 38.1 rating), but they would hardly be considered acceptable.
Which is why it’s difficult to understand the passing yards prop number for Wilson (174.5 yards). Not only has he not reached that total in passing yards in any of his three games this season, Wilson has only surpassed 175 passing yards twice in his last nine starts, dating back to last season.
Even if you subscribe to the theory that because the Jets could fall behind in this game, and thus force more throws from Wilson, he hasn’t been able to throw the ball downfield enough to get more yards. In last week’s loss to the Patriots, Wilson averaged just 4.4 yards per pass attempt, the lowest average of his career in a game where he had 30+ pass attempts.
In short, the struggles will continue for Wilson.
Zach Wilson’s Best Bet: Under 174.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings)