Week 11 of the NFL season saw some teams pull off huge wins to help their playoff chances, while other squads suffered upset losses that will significantly impact their postseason hopes. Each week, it’s becoming easier to identify the contenders and pretenders.
As the 2025 NFL season progresses, let’s take a look at how the NFL playoff picture stacks up. Now, with Week 11 in the books, here’s a look at the current postseason bracket.
Week 11 Standings and Playoff Picture
AFC Playoff Picture
1. Denver Broncos, 9-2
2. New England Patriots, 9-2
3. Indianapolis Colts, 8-2
4. Pittsburgh Steelers, 6-4
5. Buffalo Bills, 7-3
6. Los Angeles Chargers, 7-4
7. Jacksonville Jaguars, 6-4
In the Hunt
8. Houston Texans, 5-5
9. Kansas City Chiefs, 5-5
10. Baltimore Ravens, 5-5
11. Miami Dolphins, 4-7
12. Cincinnati Bengals, 3-7
13. Las Vegas Raiders, 2-8
14. New York Jets, 2-8
15. Cleveland Browns, 2-8
16. Tennessee Titans, 1-9
NFC Playoff Picture
1. Philadelphia Eagles, 8-2
2. Los Angeles Rams, 8-2
3. Chicago Bears, 7-3
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 6-4
5. Seattle Seahawks, 7-3
6. Green Bay Packers, 6-3-1
7. San Francisco 49ers, 7-4
In the Hunt
8. Detroit Lions, 6-4
9. Carolina Panthers, 6-5
10. Dallas Cowboys, 4-5-1
11. Minnesota Vikings, 4-6
12. Arizona Cardinals, 3-7
13. Atlanta Falcons, 3-7
14. Washington Commanders, 3-8
15. New Orleans Saints, 2-8
16. New York Giants, 2-9
NFL Teams On the Rise
Buffalo Bills
After last week’s embarrassing loss to the Dolphins, there was a ton of talk about what’s wrong with the Bills. Buffalo fans were panicking, but the Bills bounced back in a major way in Week 11 with a 44-32 statement win over the Buccaneers.
Josh Allen put the team on his back, totaling six touchdowns (three passing and three rushing) plus 317 passing yards and 40 rushing yards.
Buffalo now has an 87.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 20.8% chance of winning the division after Sunday’s win, according to PFSN’s NFL Playoff Predictor.
Jacksonville Jaguars
After losing three of four games, the Jaguars blew out the Chargers 35-6 in Week 11 to give their postseason hopes a huge boost. Entering this week, Jacksonville had just a 43.2% chance of making the playoffs, but with the big win in Week 11, the Jaguars’ postseason odds now sit at 64.3%.
Jacksonville rushed for 192 yards and four touchdowns on the ground against Los Angeles, with Travis Etienne Jr. (two scores), Bhayshul Tuten (one), and Trevor Lawrence (one) all getting in on the fun. Jacksonville’s midseason acquisition Jakobi Meyers also stepped up, catching five passes for 64 yards.
NFL Teams On the Decline
Detroit Lions
Having only scored nine points in their loss to the Eagles on Sunday night, the Lions’ offense looked uncharacteristically dull in Week 11. Their loss dropped their record down to 6-4, and they now trail both the Bears and Packers within the competitive NFC North.
Though they’re in third place within their division, the Lions are viewed favorably by PFSN’s analytics model, particularly for their high quality of losses and dominant play in their victories. The Lions’ playoff chances dipped by 14.7 percentage points with Sunday night’s loss. According to PFSN’s NFL Playoff Predictor, they currently have a 64% chance of making the playoffs and a 28.5% chance of winning the division.
It’s clear Detroit is one of the most talented teams in the NFL, but they’ll have to start winning more games against teams above .500 to make noise in the playoffs.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers didn’t just lose to the Jaguars in Week 11, they got blown out 35-6. This beatdown is bad news for Los Angeles, as it caused their playoff odds to dip by 23.9 percentage points.
The Chargers now have just a 62% chance of making the playoffs and a 14.7% chance of winning their division, according to PFSN’s NFL Playoff Predictor.
The Chargers will have a bad taste in their mouth for a while, as they have a Week 12 bye week. Then, they will look to bounce back in Week 13 against the Raiders (before two tough games against the Eagles and Chiefs).