After getting drilled through the air by a rookie quarterback last week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers get to deal with another young quarterback of the future in Will Levis. But will the Tennessee Titans take advantage of their best player looking like his old self in this matchup? Here’s a look at how this game should play out in Week 10.
Titans vs. Buccaneers Betting Lines, Start Time, and More
All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Spread: Buccaneers -1
- Moneyline: Titans (-105), Buccaneers (-115)
- Over/Under: 39
- Game time:Â 1:00 PM ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium
- Channel: CBS
Titans vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The Titans and Buccaneers both head into this matchup with 3-5 records, and both are probably wishing they had a couple of their losses to do over.
Four of Tennessee’s five losses have been one-score games, while the last three losses for Tampa Bay during its current four-game losing streak have come by a single score.
In his second career start last week, Levis came back to earth in a way, failing to throw a touchdown after lighting up the Falcons for four TD passes in his NFL debut back in Week 8. Still, Levis has 500 passing yards and just one interception in 68 pass attempts over his first two starts.
And Levis gets to face a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed 426 yards per game during its four-game slide — along with 24.8 points per game.
MORE: Brian Blewis’ NFL Week 10 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread To Tail
Even worse for the Buccaneers is the fact that running back Derrick Henry is looking like his old self lately. Henry rushed for 75 yards and a touchdown last week vs. the Steelers, and he has at least 100 scrimmage yards in each of his last three games.
Henry is also becoming tough to tackle again, averaging 3.7 yards after contact per carry this season, which is the third-most in the NFL, according to the league’s Next Gen Stats.
The Buccaneers, who haven’t won a game since the first of October, are hoping quarterback Baker Mayfield can continue his recent solid play. During this losing streak, Mayfield has seen his passer rating increase with each game, culminating with a season-high rating of 119.4 in last week’s loss to Houston.
He has not thrown an interception in his last two games — while throwing four touchdowns — but he has been sacked eight times over his last three games. While Tennessee’s defense has not recorded a sack in three of its last four games, two weeks ago it had a season-high six sacks against the Falcons.
Among the injuries of note, the Titans’ offensive line will be without offensive tackle Nicholas Petit-Frere (shoulder) and guard Daniel Brunskill (ankle), while OT Chris Hubbard (concussion) is listed as questionable.
For the Buccaneers, both of their starting cornerbacks — Carlton Davis (toe) and Jamel Dean (concussion) — are questionable for Sunday, although Dean had a full practice Friday (Davis was limited in practice), so both could be on the field by game time.
Yes, the Titans are 0-4 on the road this season, but three of the four losses have been one-score games. And Tennessee has done a good job bouncing back from a defeat, going 3-1 against the spread this season following a straight-up loss.
Even playing at home, it’s difficult to support a Buccaneers team that has allowed 400 or more total yards in three straight games.
If you think the Titans will win this week, as I do, pass on the point you will be receiving and play the moneyline to get slightly better odds.
Best Bet: Tennessee on moneyline (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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