Week 6 is in the books, and now things are getting really intense. If you’re betting on Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints player props for Week 7 Thursday Night Football, you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated as well as fall short of expectations.
Top Cardinals vs. Saints Player Props To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.
Cardinals Prop Bets
What can we expect from a 2-4 Arizona team that needed a 10-point, fourth-quarter push spanning less than a minute to defeat the now 1-5 Panthers and last-second heroics to overcome a 20-point deficit versus the now 1-4 Raiders?
In other words, the Cards easily could have been the league’s sole winless team heading into Week 7. They’re missing their No. 1 RB and top-producing WR. Fortunately, DeAndre Hopkins is returning from his six-game suspension, and the franchise has added boom/bust wideout Robbie Anderson.
And while the Saints’ defense has been above-average against the run, they’ve been well below average against the pass. Marshon Lattimore has been sidelined and, as of Wednesday evening, looks doubtful for Thursday night.
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So, the big question is whether we can trust Arizona’s middling passing attack in light of its offensive upheaval. Can Hopkins return to greatness in his first game since Week 14 last year? Can Robbie Anderson adjust quickly to a new offense that (to his pleasant or unpleasant surprise) might not feature him prominently?
And then there’s second-year ascending talent Rondale Moore, along with veteran Zach Ertz. Yes, Kyler Murray has more than enough playmakers to move the ball. Unfortunately, he’s had “more than enough” for six weeks, and often it hasn’t been enough.
Sitting on only one TD pass per game despite playing a pretty favorable schedule that’s included two bottom-10 pass defenses and a couple of middling ones, Murray has a slim chance at putting his team on his back and delivering a vintage performance. More likely, he’ll produce about 200-220 yards through the air, one passing score, and 25-35 more yards on the ground.
- Kyler Murray passing yards under 247.5
(-115) — DraftKings
- Murray passing TDs under 1.5
(-130) — DraftKings
- Murray interceptions under 0.5
(-105) — DraftKings
- Murray longest completion under 35.5 yards
(-110) — DraftKings
Saints Prop Bets
I’m going to mix metaphors: this season, there are more injuries than you can shake a stick at. That works, right? Good stuff.
Amidst the Saints’ ever-changing starting lineups due to an unusually high degree of key playmaker absences, Alvin Kamara quietly (or not so quietly) is enjoying a productive year. He’s matched his career 4.6 yards per carry, and although the touchdowns haven’t come yet, that’s a dry spell destined to be quenched (forced metaphor).
I’m all-in on Kamara tonight, especially with Mark Ingram hobbled and former third-stringer Latavius Murray now endearing himself to Broncos fans. (Apparently, New Orleans had room on their active roster for only one 32-year-old running back.)
MORE: Early NFL Week 7 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread
In a sea of uncertainty (final forced metaphor, I promise), Kamara stands out. The 2-4 Saints are in must-win mode. Since missing two games earlier this season, he’s averaged 27 touches in his last two contests while returning to his old, elite pass-catching ways.
The opposing Cardinals are yielding a better-than-average 4.3 yards per carry and only 21 RB receptions, which is tied for the fifth-fewest in the league. A narrow reading of this defense suggests they can contain Kamara.
But not so fast. Their impressive defensive stats include limiting Christian McCaffrey (4.6 ypc on the season) to 27 rushing yards on eight carries. Except McCaffrey entered that contest as a game-time decision with a thigh injury after barely practicing all week. These same Cards surrendered a robust 12-61-1 rushing line to Cam Akers and, this past weekend, an even better 21-97-1 rushing line to Kenneth Walker III.
Stats can be cherry-picked on both sides. I’m not saying Arizona’s defense will get smoked on the ground. But I do believe their overall solid stats are misleading. Kamara is largely defense-proof. And in an offense with so few go-to options, he’ll once again be a three-down offensive centerpiece.
- Alvin Kamara rushing yards over 64.5
(-115) — DraftKings
- Kamara receptions over 4.5
(+120) — DraftKings
- Kamara receiving yards over 33.5
(-115) — DraftKings
