Texans vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets: Picks Include C.J. Stroud, Nico Collins, and Gus Edwards

Will C.J. Stroud replicate last week's performance? Our betting experts give their top Texans vs. Ravens player prop bets.

For this weekend’s first playoff game, C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans will try to upset Lamar Jackson and the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens. After dominating an elite defense last week, can Stroud and Co. deliver once again? We break it down in our top Texans vs. Ravens player prop bets.

Top Texans vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets

C.J. Stroud Under 240.5 Passing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Blewis: If you have been following my player prop bets all season long, then you would have figured out by now that I like to back Stroud at home but fade him on the road.

This season, Stroud averaged just 231.7 passing yards in seven road games, and that number dipped to 221.8 in five games outdoors. In those five games, Stroud’s 6.93 yards per attempt were two yards lower than his 8.94 average at home.

Not only has Stroud struggled on the road and outdoors, but he will be facing an elite Ravens defense and secondary that is coming off two weeks of rest after they sat in Week 18 and had a bye in the Wild Card Round.

Nico Collins Under 82.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Soppe: The Ravens’ defense isn’t one to mess with; it’s really that simple. They were the top-scoring unit in the league this season and the best among playoff teams on a per-play basis. They are a bottom-10 team in both blitz and pressure rate, instead preferring to take their medicine in the short passing game and dare opponents to kill them with 1,000 paper cuts.

This season, Baltimore has allowed opponents to post a 40.3 passer rating on deep passes. That’s not just the lowest mark this season; it’s the third-best over the past nine seasons.

MORE: NFL Playoff Bracket

Nico Collins is a bonafide big play threat, but with Tank Dell and Noah Brown both on IR, the Ravens should be positioned to focus on preventing him from the splash play. In 2023, Collins has seven games with multiple deep receptions and nine without…

  • With (7 games): 49 catches for 980 yards and 7 TDs (140 yards/game)
  • Without (9 games): 37 catches for 413 yards and 2 TDs (45.9 yards/game)

In those nine games without multiple deep receptions, Collins hasn’t cleared 80 yards once and has been held to 65 or less even times. I love where this Texans team is headed long-term; this is just a difficult matchup for an offense operating at less than full strength.

Isaiah Likely Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Katz: I like to think I’m pretty sharp at finding good lines. But when a line just makes no sense, it often gives me pause and makes me think there’s something I’m missing.

Isaiah Likely has recorded at least 40 receiving yards in every game he’s started since Mark Andrews went down (excluding Week 18 when the Ravens didn’t try). The books waited until we had a report that Andrews wasn’t going to be activated before they released this line. Yet, it’s this low. Maybe I’m the sucker, but we have to go over here.

The Texans allowed 60 yards per game to tight ends this season, the fifth-most in the league. Likely has been Lamar Jackson’s No. 2 target behind Zay Flowers for more than a month. I just can’t say no.

Gus Edwards Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Katz: It’s always a bit risky taking an under on a running back playing on the team likely to have positive game script in the fourth quarter. However, the Houston Texans have been a brutal opponent for running backs all season. They allow a league-low 3.3 yards per carry to the position.

When these teams met back in Week 1, which, admittedly, is ancient history at this point, Gus Edwards carried the ball eight times for 32 yards. J.K. Dobbins was healthy that game, too. He had eight carries for 22 yards. Oh, and Justice Hill was also involved. He also had eight carries but amassed a whopping nine yards. The Ravens won that game by 16 points, leading wire-to-wire.

Even if this week’s game is more of the same, with the Ravens in control throughout, you still can’t run on the Texans.

Zay Flowers Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at ESPN BET)

Rolfe: It has been nice to see Flowers return to prominence in this offense down the stretch. After some midseason inconsistency, he had not gone over 50 receiving yards in three of his last four games. He has also found the end zone three times in that stretch, demonstrating what a key part of the offense he has become.

The Texans’ defense allowed an average of over 190 receiving yards to WRs in the last four weeks of the regular season, and Flowers is the main threat among the Ravens WRs. The return of Mark Andrews may make some concerned that targets will dry up for the rest of the offense, but I am not expecting a major role for Andrews this week.

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