One of the second-round matches at the 2026 Madrid Open will be an all-Spanish contest, as veteran Pablo Carreño Busta will take on the 20th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. While Davidovich Fokina got a bye in the first round, Carreño Busta started his campaign with a 4-6, 7-6 (5), 6-2 win against Marton Fucsovics in the first round.
Pablo Carreño Busta vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match Details
Date: April 25, 2026
Tournament: Madrid Open 2026
Round: Second Round (Round of 64)
Venue: La Caja Mágica, Madrid, Spain
Surface: Outdoor Clay
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN
Carreño Busta vs Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head
The two Spaniards are yet to face each other on the Tour, with the head-to-head being 0-0.
Carreño Busta has been in fine form on the Challenger Tour this year, winning the title in Murcia, beating compatriot Roberto Carballes Baena in the final. He also had a runner-up finish at the Alicante Challenger, losing to Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the final. However, on the main Tour, he won only two matches before his opening round win in Madrid. He beat Miomir Kecmanovic in Montpellier and Denis Shapovalov in Dubai, but could not go deep at either event, losing in the second round in both.
“Davidovich Fokina has been in moderate hard-court form this season, with his best results being a semifinal finish in Adelaide and a quarterfinal run in Dallas, where he lost to Ugo Humbert and Denis Shapovalov, respectively. He also had a decent run at Indian Wells, losing to Learner Tien in the fourth round. He has yet to play on clay courts this year, with his upcoming match in Madrid his first on the dirt.
Carreño Busta vs Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Carreño Busta has reached seven clay-court finals in his career, winning three titles, the last of which came at the 2021 Hamburg European Open, where he beat Filip Krajinovic. However, he has an appalling record at the Madrid Open, having won only one main-draw match before this edition.
Davidovich Fokina has reached one clay-court final in his career, finishing runner-up at the 2022 Monte-Carlo Masters, where he lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas. His best run at the Madrid Open came in 2023, when he reached the fourth round, losing to Borna Coric.
The PFSN Simulator has assigned a 62 percent win probability to Davidovich Fokina in the upcoming match, which aligns with him being the seeded, in-form player, whereas Carreño Busta has not been in great form on the main Tour and has a poor record in Madrid.
Pick- Davidovich Fokina to win in three sets
