The 2026 Australian Open is gradually heating up as third-round matches are underway. One of the third round encounters will see the fifth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti face Tomáš Macháč. Both players have equalled their best results in Melbourne, and will be looking to reach the fourth round for the first time at the first Major of the year.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomáš Macháč Match Details
Date: Jan. 24, 2026
Tournament: Australian Open 2026
Round: Third Round (Round of 32)
Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
Surface: Outdoor Hard
Category: Grand Slam
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, RDS, Sky Sports
Musetti vs Macháč Head-to-Head
Macháč leads Musetti 1-0 in head-to-head, having won the only match against the Italian 6-3, 6-2 in Marseille back in 2024.
Musetti had a good start to the season, as he reached the final of the Hong Kong Open, with wins over Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Coleman Wong, and Andrey Rublev, but lost to Alexander Bublik in the summit clash. He began his campaign at the Australian Open with a win via retirement against Raphael Collignon in the first round. In the second round, he faced a fellow countryman, Lorenzo Sonego, winning 6-3, 6-3, 6-4.
Macháč lost his very first match of the season to Jiří Lehečka in Brisbane. However, the Czech player was on song at Adelaide, where he won against the likes of James Duckworth, Quentin Halys, Jaume Munar, and Tommy Paul to reach the final, where he won against Ugo Humbert to win the title. At the Australian Open, he began his campaign with a 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 win over former semifinalist Grigor Dimitrov in the first round. In the second round, he played against former runner-up Stefanos Tsitsipas, winning 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 (5), 7-6 (5).
Musetti vs Macháč Prediction
First-serve stats for Musetti in his first two matches in Melbourne show that the Italian has won 67% of his first-serve points and 62% of his second-serve points. The Italian has faced as many as 21 break points in two matches, 15 of which he has saved. On return, he has won 11 service breaks in two matches.
Macháč has won 73 % and 64% of his first serve and second serve points, respectively. He has faced 14 break points on his serve, saving 11 of them. On return, he has converted well, winning 7 of the 13 break point opportunities he has had in two matches.
READ MORE: Lorenzo Musetti Plots Rise Beside Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz in Bold Revelation
The PFSN Simulator has given Musetti a 65% chance of winning in the upcoming match, which is understandable, given that the Italian is the seeded player and has more success at the Grand Slam.
While Macháč has never made it past the fourth round at a Slam, Musetti has reached the semifinal at the French Open and had a quarterfinal run at the US Open last year.
Pick– Musetti to win in four sets
