Italian star and second seed Lorenzo Musetti will begin his campaign in Athens against three-time Major champion Stan Wawrinka. While he enjoyed a strong start during the recent indoor hard-court swing with a semifinal run in Vienna, he couldn’t maintain that momentum at the Paris Masters, where he exited in the second round despite being seeded seventh. With the season approaching its close, Musetti now looks to rediscover his edge in Athens and finish the year on a strong, convincing note.
Wawrinka, meanwhile, will aim to build on his momentum by overcoming Musetti in their upcoming clash. The Swiss veteran opened his campaign against Botic van de Zandschulp and, despite dropping the first set 2-6, mounted an impressive comeback to claim the next two sets, 7-6(5), 7-5, and advanced to the second round.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Stan Wawrinka Match Details
Date: Nov. 5, 2025
Tournament: Hellenic Championships 2025
Round: Second Round (Round of 16)
Venue: OAKA Basketball Arena, Greece, Athens
Category: ATP 250
Surface: Indoor hardcourt
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Musetti vs Wawrinka Head-to-Head
Adding intrigue to their upcoming contest is the fact that it marks their first meeting in more than five years, with Musetti holding a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head. Their lone clash came at the 2020 Italian Open, where the young Italian stunned Wawrinka by delivering a first-set bagel and then withstanding a tougher challenge in the second to close out a 6-0, 7-6(2) victory.
Musetti vs Wawrinka Prediction
Wawrinka has endured a difficult season, reflected in his 4-12 win-loss record, and will hope to shift momentum in his favor against Musetti. The Italian, meanwhile, boasts a strong 41–19 record this year and, as the second seed, unquestionably enters the clash as the favorite.
One of Musetti’s key strengths this season has been his serve, winning 83% of his service games and 66% of his service points. Wawrinka, by comparison, trails with 70% and 60% in those categories. The Italian also holds the edge on return, winning 26% of return games and 39% of return points, while Wawrinka stands at 20% and 35%, respectively.
Musetti is expected to take an aggressive approach, while Wawrinka will aim to avoid slipping into a purely defensive role against the World No. 9. Given their contrasting form, the Italian clearly enters with the advantage. Meanwhile, with only four wins this season, Wawrinka will need something special to halt Musetti’s momentum and pull off an upset.
Pick: Musetti to win in straight sets.