As the sun sets on IGA Stadium in Montreal, the spotlight turns to a buildup Round of 32 match between the two‑time defending champion Jessica Pegula and the veteran Latvian Anastasija Sevastova. Pegula arrives with the reputation of a hard‑court force, looking to stake her claim for a third straight crown at the Canadian Open.
Pegula lifted titles at the ATX Open in Austin, Charleston (her first clay crown), and Bad Homburg, where she edged Iga Świątek in the final. Her campaign featured a loss in the Adelaide final to Madison Keys and a runner-up finish in Miami against World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka.
Meanwhile, Sevastova’s season has been modest since her return in 2024 following injury and maternity leave. Ranked World No. 386, she has a 5‑7 win‑loss record so far, with most of her success on clay. This includes a quarterfinal run in Rabat and minimal impact on grass or hard courts.
Jessica Pegula vs Anastasija Sevastova Match Details
Date: August 1, 2025
Tournament: National Bank Open
Round: Round of 32
Venue: IGA Stadium, Montreal
Category: WTA 1000
Surface: Outdoor hard
Live telecast: Tennis Channel, Fubo, ESPN+, Sky Sports
Jessica Pegula vs Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head
Jessica Pegula and Anastasija Sevastova have faced each other twice in professional competition, with the head‑to‑head record tied at 1–1. Sevastova claimed the first meeting in the Indian Wells qualifying in March 2016.
The three-peat is alive in Canada 3️⃣🇨🇦
Jessica Pegula rips a winner to defeat Sakkari 7-5, 6-4!#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/9XPGlewNHi
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) July 30, 2025
Pegula, on the other hand, evened the score in their second encounter with a straight‑sets victory (6‑4, 6‑2) in a match that lasted approximately 1 hour and 3 minutes.
Jessica Pegula vs Anastasija Sevastova Prediction
Jessica Pegula has been exceptional on hard courts in 2025, with a 75% win rate over 28 outdoor matches (21–7), including her title at the ATX Open in Austin. Her game relies on consistent groundstrokes, aggressive baseline tempo, and physical endurance.
Sevastova, on the other hand, has a limited hard‑court footprint this season. This comprises a 2–0 record in WTA‑level matches in Montreal and early losses elsewhere, with her overall 2025 singles record at 7–7. Her style relies on variety, short angles, and counterpunching, but it can be neutralized against hard‑hitting attackers like Pegula.
Pegula averages about 2.57 aces per match on outdoor hard courts in 2025 with a first‑serve percentage around 61% and approximately 2.04 double faults per match. She hits 61.3% first serves, converts almost 45% of break points, and saves 75.3% of service games in 2025.
Sevastova’s serving is comparatively modest. She has totalled just 20 aces against 36 double faults in 2025, with a first‑serve percentage of 67.6% but only about 59.4% success on first‑serve points and 39.1% on second‑serve points. That suggests her serve gives fewer free points and is more attackable under pressure.
However, given her recent run and impressive campaign so far, Pegula should be able to get past the Latvian with ease.
Prediction: Pegula to win in straight sets
