All eyes are on the 2025 US Open’s Round of 16 as second-seed Iga Świątek and 13th-seeded Ekaterina Alexandrova prepare for a gripping encounter. Swiatek captured her first Wimbledon crown with a rare double-bagel final against Amanda Anisimova, and followed it up with a flawless run to the Cincinnati Open title, dropping no sets along the way.
Alexandrova, meanwhile, has quietly built impressive form, lifting the Linz Open trophy and reaching the final in Monterrey, alongside several semifinal and quarterfinal appearances this season. Świątek moved past Emiliana Arango and Suzan Lamens before dispatching Anna Kalinskaya 7-6 (2), 6-4, remarkably coming back from 5-1 down.
Iga Świątek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match Details
- Date: August 31, 2025
- Tournament: US Open
- Round: Round of 16
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York City
- Category: Grand Slam
- Surface: Outdoor hard
- Live telecast: ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV and Sling TV
Świątek vs. Alexandrova Head-to-Head
Świątek and Alexandrova have clashed six times, with the Pole leading 4–2. Their most recent encounter took place on June 26, 2025, during the quarterfinals of the Bad Homburg Open in Germany. The match saw Swiatek dominate with a 6–4, 7–6 (5) victory in 1 hour and 55 minutes.
Świątek vs. Alexandrova Prediction
Świątek has been dominant this season, boasting an 81.4% overall win rate (which includes all surfaces, but her hard-court record specifically reaches a consistent 79.5% with 198 wins from 249 matches). On the other hand, Alexandrova posts a respectable 56.5% win rate on outdoor hard courts (13–10) this year.
Clearly, Swiatek’s form is sharper and more consistent on the surface, suggesting she’s favoured in baseline battles and sustained rallies on the hardcourts of Flushing Meadows.
✨Saturday Night Live featuring Iga Swiatek ✨#USOpen pic.twitter.com/KhgZupp3T9
— wta (@WTA) August 31, 2025
When it comes to serving, Swiatek shows solid efficiency. She wins 69.3% of her first-serve points and holds 78.1% service games won, with 180 aces so far this season. Her playing style is characterized by aggressive, all-court tennis. This includes heavy topspin, powerful forehands and backhands, exceptional movement, and smart point construction. Her serve, peaking at 123 mph and averaging around 108 mph, allows her to dominate from the start.
Meanwhile, Alexandrova’s service stats, aggregated across all surfaces to date, include 253 aces, with a 73.7% service games won, and she wins 69.4% of first serve points. The Russian also favours hard courts and plays with flat power and precision, but lacks the same tactical variety or range of spin that Swiatek brings.
Weighing these factors, including Swiatek’s superior hard-court win percentage, more consistent serve performance, and richer tactical arsenal, she stands as the clear pick.
Prediction: Świątek to win in three sets.
