Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Miami Open 2026

Here's a detailed preview of the second-round match between Alexander Bublik and Matteo Berrettini at the 2026 Miami Open.

The 10th-seeded Alexander Bublik will face former top-10 player Matteo Berrettini in the second round of the 2026 Miami Open. The Kazakh received a bye in the first round as a seeded player, while the Italian began his campaign with a 6-4, 6-2 win over Alexandre Müller.

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Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini Match Details

Date: March 20, 2026

Tournament: Miami Open 2026

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Miami Gardens, Florida, USA

Surface: Outdoor hard

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN, TVA

Bublik vs Berrettini Head-to-Head

Bublik has a 1-0 head-to-head record against Berrettini, winning their only match 7-6 (6), 6-4 in Antalya in 2021.

Bublik started the season strong, winning the title in Hong Kong, where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final. He also reached the semifinals in Rotterdam, losing to Félix Auger-Aliassime. He looked sharp at the Australian Open before a disappointing fourth-round loss to Alex de Minaur.

Meanwhile, Miami is Berrettini’s first hard-court event of the season. The Italian began his year on South American clay in Rio, Buenos Aires, and Santiago. His best result came in Rio, where he beat Tomas Barrios Vera and Dusan Lajovic before losing to Ignacio Buse in the quarterfinals.

MORE: João Fonseca Vows to Ignore Carlos Alcaraz’s Reputation to Chase Miami Open Upset

Bublik vs Berrettini Prediction

Bublik has been dominant behind his serve, winning 89% of his service games and saving 72% of the 85 break points he has faced. On return, he has won 15% of games, converting 41% of the 81 break-point opportunities.

In his only hard-court match of the year so far, Berrettini won 69% of service points and 41% of return points. He saved all four break points he faced and converted three of seven break-point chances against Müller in the previous round.

More: Alexander Bublik Drags Novak Djokovic Into His Brutal Dig at Hubert Hurkacz During Fiery Rotterdam Outburst

Bublik has been one of the most in-form players since last year, steadily rising in the rankings and breaking into the top 10. Berrettini, meanwhile, has struggled with injuries, and his hard-court results have not matched his talent.

Both players are big servers, and on a surface like Miami, the likelihood of a tiebreak increases. That favors Bublik, who is the more in-form player. PFSN’s Tennis Simulator also makes the 10th seed Bublik the favorite, giving him a 62% chance to win.

PFSN’s Tennis Simulator favors Alexander Bublik over Matteo Berrettini in their Miami Open clash

Pick: Bublik to win in straight sets

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