Picking NFL player props are becoming more and more popular for fantasy football fans. Monkey Knife Fight takes that one step further. Their innovative format allows you to get creative selecting NFL player props, as we will examine in our Super Bowl selections. If you have never played on Monkey Knife Fight, then be sure to check out their site using our promo code PFN and get a 100% instant match bonus up to $50.
Let’s look at the Monkey Knife Fight Fantasy Challenge, More or Less Contest, Rapid Fire, and Touchdown Dance.
Which Super Bowl More or Less player props could be valuable this weekend?
Tom Brady — “More or Less” than 303.5 passing yards;Â Patrick Mahomes — “More or Less” than 335.5 passing yards
After 20 weeks of playing multiple games, we only have one matchup remaining for the 2020 NFL season. There would be no better place to start our Monkey Knife Fight Super Bowl props than on the shoulders of who will carry their teams to victory — the quarterbacks.
The totals on this are intriguing. I have to say that the guys at Monkey Knife Fight set these totals at just the right number to make you think. There is rarely a smash play. That holds true again. Every prop decision you make needs to be based on what type of game do you think this will be. I am in the camp that it will be high scoring and go over the 56 total with the Chiefs winning 34-30. For that to happen, we need offense, and it starts with Mahomes and Brady.
Expect these teams to air the ball out on Sunday
Tampa Bay is extremely pass-happy, throwing on 38.7 passes per game (sixth-most). While Brady has struggled in the playoffs, this is the Super Bowl. Everything is different here.
Their last loss came in Week 12 to the Chiefs, and since then, their conversion rate on third down has significantly improved. This leads to longer drives and will help to keep up with the Chiefs’ high scoring offense.
It’s hard to set a number Patrick Mahomes couldn’t hit. He threw for 300 or more yards in 10 games and cleared the 335.5 in five games, including 462 in Week 12 against the Buccaneers. His 488 passing attempts are a career-high, and the Chiefs attempted the fourth-most passes in the NFL. Given how difficult it will be for the Chiefs to run the ball, their success comes down to Mahomes.
Related | Historical Super Bowl betting trends to look for in 2021
To hit our goal in this NFL prop pick, both Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady need to finish with more yards than 335.5 and 303.5 yards, respectively. If this happens, we will receive a 3.5x prize. This More or Less prop on Monkey Knife Fight is one of the more interesting NFL player props for the Super Bowl weekend.
You can double up on this as well if you feel the same as I do. Select Mahomes and Brady in the Hail Mary challenge with the 2x prize of 639.5. If they both have more than their current totals, this will hit.
Which NFL players should I target in the Super Bowl Fantasy Challenge?
For those of us who play fantasy football, this might be the most fun. It’s what we know and love. It’s one of the reasons I was so excited to use the Monkey Knife Fight PFN promo code to get started with a few more dollars in the account than I otherwise would.
For Kansas City, it’s the usual suspects finding their way into my Monkey Knife Fight picks
Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce will be in every NFL player prop for me nine times out of 10. The last time these teams met up, Tyreek Hill had a career day. He caught 13 passes for 269 yards with 3 touchdowns, and he made his damage on deep passes. Hill had 6 receptions on throws that traveled 10 or more yards in the air for 217 yards and all 3 TDs.
Don’t expect Bucs’ defensive coordinator Todd Bowles to rerun single-high safety defenses as Hill’s speed was on full display. I don’t think it will stop him, however. He only needs one big play, and I could see him having a few in the Super Bowl along with a touchdown.
Is there anything I need to say about Travis Kelce at this point? Kelce has had 109 or more receiving yards in seven of 10 weeks going back to Week 8. Kelce is one of only seven position players in 2020 to average more than 20 fantasy points per game. He is also the only TE on that list.
Mike Evans is my choice from Tampa Bay
We have to take one player from each team, and the one with the highest ceiling is Mike Evans. While his yardage has been down, he has scored in his last two playoff games. He set a career-high for TDs in the regular season with 13, and if Brady has success, Evans will need to be heavily involved. Evans’ knee had an extra week to heal and could be coming into the Super Bowl as healthy as he has been in recent weeks.Â
For this NFL Super Bowl prop pick on Monkey Knife Fight, I believe the combination of picks between Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Mike Evans should clear the 68.5 PPR points we need for the 2x prize. Only play this contest after using Monkey Knife Fight promo code PFN, however. It could make for quite a profitable Super Bowl Sunday!
This combo also can play in the Go Long Challenge
Just as we did for the quarterbacks, the receiving yards make sense as well. The options are 292.5, 319.5, and 345.5 receiving yards for either a 2x, 3x, or 5x prize.
Related | NFL Super Bowl Predictions: Chiefs repeat or underdog Buccaneers prevail?
I will probably look at the middle range on this and take Hill, Kelce, and Evans to have more than 319.5 receiving yards for 3x, but the 5x goal is very much alive.
Which players should we choose in the Rapid Fire Super Bowl contest?
Luckily enough, this is based on the players we have already talked about. For this contest, you have two pairs of players who will be facing off. Pick the correct one in each group and that is a 3x prize.Â
In the first of our Rapid Fire contests on Monkey Knife Fight, it is Mahomes against Brady in passing yards. While this is a heads up, they are spotting Brady 30.5 passing yards. This means Mahomes would need to end the game with 31 or more passing yards over Brady to win. On the other side, it is almost a pick’em. The question is, which Chiefs player will have more receiving yards, Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce +0.5 yards?
On the first side, I will take Mahomes. While the yards are tempting for Brady, this game will be close enough that it won’t be garbage time in the latter half of the fourth quarter.Â
As for Hill and Kelce, this one is tough. Volume is likely to go the way of Kelce, but Hill is an 80-yard completion waiting to happen. Over the last two games, Hill has averaged 141 yards and Kelce is at 113.5. Kelce will be peppered with targets, but I don’t think the Buccaneers can account for Hill’s speed once again.
Even if they double or rotate the safety over the top to bracket, Hill has speed that can’t be taught. It won’t be 269, but 150 is in the cards. Super Bowls are won on big plays. If Kansas City pulls it off, it’s a Mahomes/Hill duo working magic. I am siding with Mahomes and Hill in this Super Bowl NFL props pick on Monkey Knife Fight in the hopes for a 3x prize.
What are some NFL player prop options in the Touchdown Dance contest?
If you want a simple contest to enter when you redeem your Monkey Knife Fight promo code PFN, then this is the one for you. If you can identify three players who can combine for three or more touchdowns, you have a chance to win money. You will not find a much simpler process for NFL Super Bowl player prop picks.Â
If all three of your picks score a touchdown, you also win a share of the $10,000 Touchdown Dance prize because each player scored. I will gloss over the Chiefs’ players because it is Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill — that was the obvious one.
There are a few ways to go for the Tampa Bay side
Tampa Bay is more interesting. The first option is Mike Evans, who we have discussed. Whether the game is close or trailing, he remains a factor in the offense. He has some of the best deep-ball skills and is a monster in the red zone.Â
The other sneaky play could be Leonard Fournette. Sorry, I meant Playoff Lenny. The guy is at a different level in the playoffs, along with his usage. He saw a 47.4% snap share in the regular season, but that has skyrocketed to 74% in the playoffs. He has scored in each game over the playoff stretch and has touch counts of 23, 22, and 17.Â
Featured | 10 players to watch besides Brady and Mahomes in Super Bowl 55
This could very well be settled on the opening drive of the game. Andy Reid is an auto defer, and the last two times Tampa Bay has won the toss, Arians has received the ball. That puts it on Brady and the Buccaneers to put the opening script to work. Either of these players could not only score but be the first scorer. Another interesting play for those of you who dabble in this realm.Â
I’ll take my shot with Fournette as there is little competition for touches where Evans needs to contend with Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, and Rob Gronkowski.
We need this group of three players to have more than 2.5 touchdowns for a 2x prize on these Super Bowl NFL player prop picks. If they can manage four scores, we are rolling in rewards thanks to a 4x return.
Want more NFL news and analysis?
Be sure to follow us on Twitter (@PFN365) to stay up to date with all things around the NFL. Also, continue to visit Pro Football Network for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2020 season and beyond.
Tommy Garrett is a writer for Pro Football Network covering the NFL and fantasy football. You can read more of his work here and follow him at @TommygarrettPFN on Twitter.
