If you’re looking for Week 7 XFL Arlington Renegades vs. Seattle Sea Dragons odds, picks, and predictions for this important Friday matchup, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations.
Renegades vs. Sea Dragons Week 7 Odds and Betting Lines
The following odds and betting lines for the Renegades vs. Sea Dragons are as of the evening of Wednesday, March 29, and come from DraftKings Sportsbook. Clearly, they’re subject to change. That said, barring an unforeseen injury to a significant starter, we should assume that these lines will remain largely intact.
- Point Spread: Renegades (+4.5)
- Moneyline: Renegades (+165), Sea Dragons (-195)
- Over/Under: 36.5 (-110)
Renegades vs. Brahmas Picks and Predictions
Full disclosure as always: I went 3-1 last week on point spreads, 3-1 on moneylines, and 3-1 on over/unders. Since Week 3, that puts me at 23-9 on combined point spreads and moneylines. And after languishing most of the season on over/unders, I’m now 6-2 since Week 5.
Let’s see if we can keep things going in Week 7.
After splitting two games with the San Antonio Brahmas, the Renegades are in the driver’s seat for a playoff spot. But three of their final four contests are against Seattle, Houston, and DC. They’ll probably need to go no worse than 2-2 to lock up a postseason berth. Easier said than done with this brutal remaining schedule.
The good news is that the Renegades have yielded the XFL’s second-fewest points, along with the fewest opposing yards. The bad news? Almost everything else.
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Four of their six contests have been against the three worst offenses. They looked mediocre at best against tougher offenses (Houston and St. Louis). The opposing Sea Dragons can score in buckets. Arlington will be tested.
More concerning is the Renegades’ troublesome offense. I highlighted De’Veon Smith in the title because, well, there’s no other Renegade worth highlighting. Sal Cannella has been painfully underutilized for much of the season. Brandon Arconado is a distant second on the team in targets and receiving yards. Kyle Sloter and Drew Plitt are competing to see who is not worse.
Smith has inched his way to 2.8 yards per carry. Yet, he’s the only Renegade to score on the ground this year, and his versatility in the passing attack could force Arlington to feed him all game long. Will that be a good thing? I’m not so sure. But he’s factored into 36% of his team’s touches. Until/unless that changes, he’s the closest thing to an offensive centerpiece this team has.
As a result, this game is Seattle’s to lose. In other words, barring some monumental breakdown by the Sea Dragons, they should win. After starting 0-2, they’re now 4-2 and pushing for a playoff spot in the competitive North division.
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Incredibly, their backfield has persevered despite losing presumptive starter Brenden Knox after two weeks, with breakout star Morgan Ellison joining him on the sidelines last week. Although third-stringer Darius Bradwell flopped against Orlando, the Sea Dragons have proven they can win through the air.
And that’s the key here. As I wrote last week, despite Ben DiNucci’s exceptional offensive stats, he entered Week 6 leading the league in turnovers. Then he struggled against the league’s only winless team, the Guardians — owners of the worst defense.
DiNucci is the X factor in this contest. Arlington’s surrendered a league-best 164 passing yards per game on only 5.9 yards per throw. DiNucci continues to make too many mistakes. Mixed in with a lot of great players and an elite receiving corps, it’s worked for Seattle. But he still has a lot to prove.
The Sea Dragons’ strong defense should keep Arlington in check. The rest is up to DiNucci, Jahcour Pearson, Blake Jackson, and Josh Gordon. One or two big plays by, say, Pearson and Jackson could prove to be the difference. Given what we’ve seen from those two receivers, I’d put their combined over/under at 12 receptions for 145 yards and a score.
- Recommended Point-Spread Bet: Sea Dragons (-4.5)
- Recommended Moneyline Bet: Sea Dragons (-195)
- Over/Under: Over 36.5 (-110)