Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Pick, Prediction: Who wins in Week 12?

Who will come out on top of Week 12's Rams vs. Packers game, and what is our pick and prediction for this critical NFC showdown?

The Los Angeles Rams and Green Bay Packers will face off in a matchup between two of the best teams in the NFC. These clubs have combined for a 15-6 record throughout the 2021 season. Los Angeles and Green Bay are known as dominant offenses, but on defense, both squads also rank in the top 10 in points allowed per play this season. Below, we’ll take a look at the NFL odds with a pick and prediction for the Rams vs. Packers.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers pick, prediction | Week 12

  • Spread: Packers -1 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • Moneyline: Rams +100, Packers -120
  • Over/Under: 48

The Packers are seen as Aaron Rodgers’ team, but they’ve relied quite a bit on their defense throughout the 2021 season. Through 11 games, they’ve held their opponents to 22 points or fewer eight times. Green Bay allows only 19.5 points per game, fifth-best in the NFL.

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They’re coming off of a bad game against the Minnesota Vikings in which they allowed 34 points. Prior to that, Green Bay held the Arizona Cardinals, Kansas City Chiefs, and Seattle Seahawks to only 34 combined points.

The key to this game is the location, as the Packers are allowing a league-low 11 points per game at Lambeau Field. Green Bay’s also allowing an NFL-low 0.18 points per play at home this season.

Rams vs. Packers betting trends

These teams have been opposites in terms of the spread this season. Green Bay has covered the spread in a league-high 81.8% of their games, while Los Angeles has covered in only 40% of their games.

The Packers are a perfect 4-0 against the spread (ATS) at home this season. They’re beating the spread by over a touchdown per game, as well. The Rams, on the other hand, only own a 2-3 ATS away record this season.

Similar to the spread, these teams are opposites when dealing with the total. The Rams have hit the over in 55.6% of their games.

Meanwhile, the Packers have found the under in 72.7% of their contests. Green Bay’s also posted a 1-3 over/under record through four home games in 2021.

Rams vs. Packers prediction

These teams are on somewhat different trajectories at the moment. The Rams have lost consecutive games, while the Packers have won eight of their last nine “healthy” games. Their only other loss (aside from Week 11) came against the Kansas City Chiefs without Rodgers.

Green Bay will have a massive edge at home against Los Angeles because of the weather this weekend. It may not be as drastic with Matthew Stafford having played for the Detroit Lions (who travel to Green Bay on a yearly basis). With that being said, Stafford only owns a 3-7 career record at Lambeau Field.

This does feel like a spot where you can buy low on the Rams, although I can’t bet against the Packers at home this season. They’re small favorites, and I expect them to hand Los Angeles their third consecutive loss.

If you don’t want to bet on the spread or moneyline, I fully expect an elite Green Bay defense to slow down a Los Angeles offense that’s only recorded 26 points over their last two games.

Rams vs. Packers Prediction: Packers 24, Rams 17