Are you looking to enjoy the late afternoon slate with some NFL bets but need help in making your picks?
You’re in the right place, as we have NFL Week 10 predictions, player props, and more for each of the four afternoon games.
NFL Week 10 Predictions: Late Afternoon Games
Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds
- Spread
Falcons -2 - Moneyline
Falcons -125, Cardinals +105 - Total
42.5
Katz: How many weeks in a row? Seriously. How many? Bijan Robinson hasn’t gone over 80 total yards in a game since Week 4. His role continues to diminish as Arthur Smith pushes the inferior Tyler Allgeier ahead of the talented rookie. Yet, the line keeps being set as if Robinson is the clear lead back.
Of course, Robinson is talented enough to break a couple of big runs, costing us the under. Well, we’ve taken this each of the past two weeks, and we’ve gotten two sweat-free wins. Until we see something change in the Falcons backfield, or until the sportsbooks correctly adjust this line lower, we will continue to milk this cash cow.
Pick: Bijan Robinson under 81.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds
- Spread
Lions -3 - Moneyline
Lions -155, Chargers +130 - Total
48.5
Katz:Â Normally, when I see a line that jumps out at me, I have to bet it right away because it will move against me. This line opened at 48.5, and if I waited, I could get a better number because Austin Ekeler is a household name. I was correct, as this moved to 51.5. If it ends up higher, I’m okay with that because I like it at this number. I liked it at 48.5, too.
Ekeler has been terrible as a runner this season. At 28 years old, he may be declining, but it’s being masked because he remains an excellent receiver. That is not uncommon. We’ve seen many great running backs decline on the ground while their ability to excel as receivers ages better.
Ekeler has not run for 50 yards in a game since Week 1. Since returning from his three-game absence, he’s averaging 2.6 yards per carry. The Lions are a pass-funnel defense. They allow just 3.7 YPC and a mere 57 rushing yards per game to running backs.
I’m expecting the Chargers to go with a very pass-heavy script this week, utilizing designed screens to Ekeler instead of carries. And when they do run, Ekeler is unlikely to be effective, keeping him well short of this number.
Pick: Austin Ekeler under 51.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Soppe: For the season, 84.6% of Goff’s rushing yards came on a single carry, and he has one whole rushing yard since the beginning of October.
The Chargers are a bottom-five team in terms of preventing yardage per pass, and a large part of that is that they don’t get home – bottom five in QB contact rate.
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I’m not telling you anything you don’t already know: Goff has zero interest in running the ball. I like the Lions to win this game, and that brings kneel-downs into the picture, something that could bail us out should Goff pick up a few yards on a QB sneak or some other fluky play.
Pick: Jared Goff under 1.5 rushing yards (-105 at DraftKings)
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds
- Spread
Cowboys -17 - Moneyline
Giants +850, Cowboys -1450 - Total
38.5
Broyles: The Cowboys enter this game steaming mad following a loss last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. Dallas faces the downtrodden Giants defense during a season where New York has nothing to play for. Dallas throttles the Giants in this one, while Prescott and his pass catchers play catch all afternoon. Take the over on Dak’s passing yards and passing touchdown props.
Picks: Dak Prescott over 247.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings), over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-150 at DraftKings)
Washington Commanders vs. Seattle Seahawks Odds
- Spread
Seahawks -6.5 - Moneyline
Commanders +220, Seahawks -270 - Total
44
Blewis:Â In the first eight weeks of the season, the Seahawks offense ranked 8th in EPA/play and fourth in success rate. Now, they rank just 14th and ninth after two road games in a row against the Browns and Ravens, the two best defenses in the NFL.
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This week, they return home to face a Commanders defense that is a bottom-five unit in the NFL. This is an ideal get-right spot for this offense and Geno Smith especially, who has struggled recently.
Pick: Seahawks over 26.5 (+105 at DraftKings)
Katz:Â I was very tempted to make this one a two-unit play as well, but I refrained. I may regret that.
This is a great spot for Antonio Gibson to see significant usage. Over the past two weeks, the Commanders returned to their two-man split of Brian Robinson and Gibson. Rookie Chris Rodriguez didn’t play a snap.
Gibson hasn’t been much work on the ground, but he’s been very good through the air. Gibson has totaled at least 24 receiving yards in four of his last five games.
Most importantly, the Commanders are not the type to just run the ball while trailing. If it doesn’t work, or if they fall behind, they will completely abandon the run. We saw this happen a few weeks ago on Thursday night when they fell behind early to the Bears. They didn’t call a single-run play the entire second half.
If the Commanders are forced to go pass-heavy, Gibson will see over a 50% snap share, as he did against the Bears. If he runs another 22 routes like last week, he should have no trouble catching a couple of balls for at least 14 yards.
I’m expecting a big-time bounce-back performance from the Seahawks at home. If they go up early by multiple scores, as I suspect, we will see heavy doses of Gibson, allowing him to surpass this number.
Pick: Antonio Gibson over 13.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
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