Philadelphia Eagles record prediction 2022: Odds, props, and picks

We examine the Philadelphia Eagles' current record prediction, projected win totals, prop bets, and their odds to win the division, NFC, and Super Bowl in 2023.

The Philadelphia Eagles earned a Wild Card bid after finishing 9-8 in 2021. Now, after acquiring star receiver A.J. Brown and adding a tremendous 2022 rookie class, expectations have risen. Let’s examine the Eagles’ current record prediction, their projected win totals, any intriguing prop bets involving the franchise, and their betting odds to win the division, conference, and Super Bowl in 2023.

All odds are from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise stated and are correct as of July 31 at 12 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Eagles record prediction 2022

Following the release of the NFL schedule, Caesars has provided odds and spreads for all of the Eagles’ 2022 regular-season matchups. Based on those numbers, the Eagles are projected as favorites in 11 games, underdogs in four, and a push in three. If the season matches those predictions, the Eagles will finish with an 11-4-3 record in 2022.

The optimism around the Eagles stems from a 5-2 finish to their 2021 regular season and their excellent series of transactions in the offseason. After an ugly 3-6 start in head coach Nick Sirianni’s first year, the Eagles began running the ball more. This philosophical change immediately altered the outlook of Philadelphia’s season.

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Currently projected to finish second in the NFC East, the Eagles are a value play entering the season. The Dallas Cowboys seemed to get worse this season and can’t bank on seeing the same elite production from Trevon Diggs and Micah Parsons. Thus, there may be an opportunity here for Philadelphia and bettors.

The Eagles will also benefit from the league’s easiest schedule this season. Despite this, 10 of their 17 games have spreads of three points or less on either side.

Eagles odds, picks, and props

Now that we know the sportsbooks prediction for the Eagles on a week-by-week basis, let’s take a look at their season-long odds for win totals, the division, conference, and the Super Bowl.

  • Eagles win total: 9.5 (over +110, under -140)
  • Eagles NFC East wins: Over/Under 3.5 (over +110, under -140)
  • NFC East winner: +165
  • NFC winner: +1100
  • Super Bowl winner: 25-to-1

As an optimist about the Eagles’ outlook for 2022, I believe we’re getting value on their win total and ability to represent the NFC East as the divisional champion. Many of the other top contenders within the conference got weaker in free agency, whereas the Eagles continued to make additions.

Sirianni’s growth during and since last year should prove valuable starting in Week 1. If the Eagles can avoid letdown performances in games they’re favored, this is a potential juggernaut. Not only are they favored in 1.5 more games than their win line of 9.5, but their three push games also appear winnable.

Eagles MVP odds and player props

There are only a handful of players with a realistic pathway to winning the MVP or other major awards. The Eagles have a potential star who could break through at the right time in Jalen Hurts. The question is whether he’s consistent enough to overcome the top competitors.

Adding Brown to the offense is meant to assist Hurts’ quest to become a franchise quarterback. The Eagles were unable to upgrade on Hurts with Russell Wilson, making his third season a critical year in his career. With Brown and DeVonta Smith headlining a solid cast of playmakers, he has a real chance of progressing in 2022.

That being said, there are better plays on the board than taking Hurts to win MVP. Let’s dive into the best prop bets available for the Eagles.

  • MVP
    Jalen Hurts 20-to-1
  • Defensive Rookie of the Year
    Nakobe Dean +1200
    Jordan Davis +1400
  • Coach of the Year
    Nick Sirianni +1800
  • Jalen Hurts regular-season passing yards
    Over/Under 3650.5 (-110)
  • Miles Sanders regular-season rushing yards
    Over/Under 850.5 (-115)
  • Darius Slay regular-season interceptions
    Over/Under 2.5 (over -120, under -110)

Betting on a Hurts breakout would not be the worst gamble possible. A similar recent example of a dual-threat player who earned MVP when expectations were similar was Lamar Jackson’s 2020 campaign. The question is whether Hurts can lead the Eagles to a dominant 2022 season like Jackson did for the Ravens.

Hurts would need considerable statistical improvements. Last season, he completed just 61.3% of his passes for 3,144 yards, 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions. His 784 yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground are impressive, but there’s not enough cumulative production to win MVP if he repeats that output. Hurts would need to mirror Jackson’s 4,300-plus total yards and whopping 43 touchdowns to be in the conversation.

The more interesting major award plays are the Defensive Rookie of the Year and Coach of the Year plays.

Third-round linebacker Nakobe Dean only fell so far because of a shoulder injury, but he could be one of the NFL’s leading tacklers as a rookie. Nose tackle Jordan Davis is a tougher pick to sell because he’s unlikely to amass a huge sack total. Still, he was one of my favorite players in the 2022 class because of his disruptiveness in the middle.

Meanwhile, betting on Sirianni to emerge as Coach of the Year is a direct bet on whether the Eagles overachieve.

Eagles 2022 picks

There’s not an NFC team I’m higher on compared to the oddsmakers than the Eagles. This is a well-built roster that is coming off one of the best offseasons in the NFL. Philadelphia is deep at critical positions, and they know their identity.

The offense has more balance than recent run-first offenses. I’m not yet sold on Hurts as a franchise guy, but he brings a dynamic element that is difficult to defend. Having Brown and Year 2 of Smith will help push Hurts’ efficiency up.

The Eagles’ defense added an enormous amount of talent with Davis, Dean, Haason Reddick, and James Bradberry. This is one of the best handful of defenses in the NFL. Their ability to stop both the run and the pass is impressive.

Playing against the Eagles will be a dreadful grind. I don’t see the Super Bowl potential with this team with Hurts’ passing limitations but almost everything else is attainable. I love the over 9.5 wins for positive value and believe they will win the NFC East.

Because we’re taking the over on those two, we might as well sprinkle a partial unit on Sirianni to win Coach of the Year as well. Philadelphia’s schedule is incredibly favorable and we could see them reach 11-12 wins. We might as well pair that with over 3.5 NFC East wins since neither the New York Giants or Washington Commanders are overly impressive, and Dallas got worse from last year.

Player props

The player props are also intriguing. If Sirianni adopts the same passing philosophy as he did when the Eagles starting their 5-2 stretch, Hurts will throw less than last year in total. From Weeks 1-7, Hurts averaged 34.5 passing attempts. From Week 8 on, he averaged only 23.75 attempts. Taking the under on his passing yards is the best play even with his weapons improving.

That will have a cascading effect on Miles Sanders’ rush totals. Sanders missed five games last season and still amassed 754 yards. Despite zero touchdowns, Sanders should easily hit over 850.5 if he simply stays healthy.

Our final prop is taking the over on Slay’s interception total. He’s gone over in three of the last five years and will benefit from playing quarterbacks who are riskier than others. The Eagles will face Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Mitch Trubisky, Davis Mills, Ryan Tannehill, Justin Fields, and Jameis Winston on top of their divisional foes Carson Wentz and Daniel Jones. With Reddick added as a stud pass rusher, it’s very possible Slay has more interceptions this year.

1u: Eagles over 9.5 wins (+110)

1u: Eagles to win the NFC East (+165)

1u: Eagles over 3.5 NFC East wins (+110)

1u: Slay over 2.5 INTs (-120)

1u: Hurts under 3,650.5 passing yards (-110)

1u: Sanders over 850.5 rushing yards (-115)

.5u: Sirianni to win NFL Coach of the Year (+1800)

.5u: Dean to win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1200)

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