Making a prediction for this Sunday’s New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Chargers game is made tough by the recent performances of the two teams. After the Patriots pushed the Cowboys and Buccaneers all the way, can they go into LA and upset the Chargers? Let’s take a look at the current NFL odds for Patriots vs. Chargers and what channel you can watch the game on.
New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Chargers prediction and odds | Week 8
- Spread: Chargers -5.5
- Moneyline: Patriots +195, Chargers -240
- Over/Under: 49 (Over -110; Under -110)
Odds from DraftKings sportsbook
This is a really intriguing matchup between these two AFC teams, especially with the Patriots having pushed two potential Super Bowl contenders in the past four weeks. Their offensive numbers have been somewhat slanted by their lopsided victory over the Jets in Week 7, but even without that game, they have still had a solid showing on offense.
Among the rookie QBs, Mac Jones has looked the most consistent. He is currently the only rookie ranking above the league average in Pro Football Network’s Offensive Value Metric. Additionally, the Patriots rank in the top 10 offensively in third-down conversion rate and points per drive. The defense blowing hot and cold is a concern, but the offense is standing up to the task so far.
The Chargers have actually been a touch disappointing at times this season. Their 4-2 record includes two losses against Super Bowl contenders, which is disappointing but not a complete disaster. However, the performance of their offense and defense as individual units is below what we expected of them coming into the year.
LA’s offense ranks 13th in points per game and 12th in yards per game. Above-average performance is fine, but this offense was expected to comfortably be a top-10 unit. Defensively, the Chargers are allowing 25 points and nearly 365 yards per game. Both of those figures reflect below-average performance, which — given the talent on that defense — will disappoint their defensive-minded head coach.
Patriots vs. Chargers prediction
It is not really surprising that the odds for the Chargers vs. Patriots game favor Los Angeles. Justin Herbert is viewed as the more polished of the two QBs, and the Chargers have the edge when it comes to their offensive playmakers.
There are two elements that potentially balance this game back towards the Patriots. Firstly, Bill Belichick should have a clear coaching advantage over Brandon Staley. For all the good Staley has done coaching-wise, he has made at least one head-scratching decision. Secondly, it appears the atmosphere within the stadium could be very pro-Patriots. Los Angeles has a lot of Boston transplants, and this could almost have the feel of a Patriots home game.
The Chargers should win, and if they want to be considered serious AFC contenders, they have to come out victorious. However, New England will push them all the way. With a record of 3-4, the Patriots are fighting for their postseason chances. A loss for either team would be very damaging to their respective playoff aspirations. The Chargers cannot afford to drop many more games outside of their division, while the Patriots need to stay front and center in the AFC Wild Card race.
Prediction: Chargers 27, Patriots 23