Packers vs. 49ers Player Prop Bets: Picks Include Jordan Love and Christian McCaffrey

In the game with the highest point total of the week, our betting experts give out their top Packers vs. 49ers player prop bets.

Last week, the Green Bay Packers‘ offense looked unstoppable against the Dallas Cowboys — can they make it two games in a row against the San Francisco 49ers? In a battle of two elite offenses in Packers vs. 49ers, which player prop bets should you be targeting? We break it all down below and give out our top Packers vs. 49ers player prop bets.

Top Packers vs. 49ers Player Prop Bets

Jordan Love Under 250.5 Passing Yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Soppe: Jordan Love has Cheeseheads across the globe optimistic that the franchise has landed on a third straight franchise quarterback.

That may be true (I still need to be sold, but the early returns are certainly encouraging), though seeing it out west isn’t statistically likely.

Four times this season, a QB reached 270 passing yards against the 49ers, and in each of those instances, they kept picking at a scab created by an alpha target earner.

  • Week 2 (no Cooper Kupp) – Puka Nacua: 15 catches (38.5% target share)
  • Week 7 (no Justin Jefferson) – T.J. Hockenson: 10 catches (27.9% share)
  • Week 8 – Ja’Marr Chase: 10 catches (37.5% share)
  • Week 13 – AJ Brown: 8 catches (31% share)

We all like the direction of this Jordan Love pass game, but there is no denying that this Packers offense, at the moment, lacks an alpha receiver that can take over a game like what we saw in the above instances.

  • Average top GB earner, 2023: 23.9% target share
    • Average top GB earner, since Week 6 bye: 22.3% target share

Outside of those standout performances, the 49ers cough up just 193.6 yards through the air per game and only 6.0 yards per attempt. At that per pass production, Love would have to throw at least 42 passes, something he hasn’t done since September (Week 3 vs. Saints).

Jayden Reed Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Blewis: Despite Jordan Love throwing for 272 yards and the Packers putting up 41 points of offense, Jayden Reed didn’t record a single catch on three targets. With Love only attempting 21 passes for the game, as they were in a positive game script for most of the second half, the odds of that happening again this week as heavy underdogs are extremely low.

During the regular season, Reed actually led all Packers pass catchers in target share at 26%. Considering I’m expecting the Packers to be in a completely opposite game script next week, and Reeds’ yardage prop is under his weekly average during the regular season, this is a must-play for me.

Christian McCaffrey Over 4.5 Receptions (+106 at FanDuel)

Soppe: The 49ers are a big favorite in this spot, and part of that is how their passing game matches up with the Packers. For the season, Green Bay creates pressure at the sixth-highest rate, a defensive style that a quick-striking San Francisco pass game could dismantle in short order.

But wait, there’s more. The Packers rank 25th in opponent completion percentage when pressured and 24th in opponent aDOT (average depth of target) in those pressured spots. Those trends point in the direction of the Niners’ All-World RB.

Catch rate when Brock Purdy is pressured:

  • Christian McCaffrey: 68.8%
  • Brandon Aiyuk: 63.3%
  • George Kittle: 57.7%
  • Deebo Samuel: 52.0%

Targets per route when Purdy is pressured:

  • Christian McCaffrey: 22.9%
  • Brandon Aiyuk: 19.6%
  • Deebo Samuel: 19.0%
  • George Kittle: 16.0%

It’s rarely a bad idea to look at CMC with optimism, and this specific matchup should be viewed no differently!

Brandon Aiyuk Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at ESPN BET)

Rolfe: This line immediately stood out to me when talking about a WR that had over 100 receiving yards in three of the final four games that mattered for the 49ers this season. Aiyuk did play in the final game of the season, but that can hardly be held against him, given the lack of talent surrounding him.

Aiyuk has proven himself to be a crucial part of this offense, topping 100 yards in seven of his 16 games and going over 70 yards in eight of them. The Packers’ defense allowed an average of 171.25 yards per game to WRs in the final four weeks of the season, so I expect Aiyuk to breeze past the 70-yard mark.

Given he also got to six receptions in three of those four games that matter, over 5.5 receptions at +165 is also something I may well jump on ahead of kickoff.

Brandon Aiyuk To Lead the Weekend in Receiving Yards (+950 at DraftKings)

Katz: It goes without saying anyone can pop off for a huge reception, leading to him finishing with the most receiving yards in the Divisional Round. But realistically, one of the five favorites should probably win it.

Aiyuk is listed behind the likes of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Nico Collins, Rashee Rice, and Mike Evans. Is Aiyuk likely to lead the weekend receiving? Of course not. But should he be priced this far behind Collins? I don’t think so.

KEEP READING: NFL Playoff Bracket

Aiyuk is the 49ers WR1. Their game against the Packers has the highest total of the slate. He topped 100 yards receiving in seven games this season. I think there’s good value on Aiyuk here.

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