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Bye Week Schedule
- Week 5: Lions, Chargers, Eagles, Titans
- Week 6: Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins, Vikings
- Week 7: Bears, Cowboys
- Week 9: Steelers, 49ers
- Week 10: Browns, Packers, Raiders, Seahawks
- Week 11: Cardinals, Panthers, Giants, Buccaneers
- Week 12: Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Saints, Jets
- Week 14: Ravens, Broncos, Texans, Colts, Patriots, Commanders
All stats are from TruMedia unless otherwise stated.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (TNF)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: The Bucs outgained the Eagles 186-0 in the first quarter. That was Tampa Bay’s best yardage margin in any quarter since 2019, and the Eagles’ worst in any quarter since 2018.
Team: The Bucs are seeking their fourth straight road division win. If they win four straight, they will tie the longest streak in franchise history (it was also done in 1979).
QB: Baker Mayfield has two games this season (Weeks 1 and 4) with 285+ pass yards, 2+ pass TD, and 10+ rushing yards – the rest of the NFL has two such games (C.J. Stroud and Brock Purdy have one apiece).
Offense: The Bucs have reached the red zone on 36.6% of their drives this season, a significant growth from their 26.2% rate a season ago.
Defense: The Buccaneers had 6 sacks Sunday vs the Eagles, triple their total from the first three weeks combined (2). Their 47.4% pressure rate was also a season-high (31.5% pressure rate in the first 3 weeks).
Fantasy: Bucky Irving ranks 6th in yards per carry this season (5.8), while Rachaad White ranks dead last (2.8). Irving played a season-high 40.5% of the offensive snaps on Sunday and had four rush attempts from inside the 10-yard line (0 through the first 3 games).
Betting: Mayfield has covered five straight regular-season games played on short rest (the under has come through in four of those games).
Atlanta Falcons
Team: The Falcons had two non-offensive TD in Sunday’s win over the Saints after having one during the 2023 season. Atlanta won without scoring an offensive TD for the first time since 2004 (had lost 22 straight when not reaching the end zone on offense).
QB: For the first time in his career, Kirk Cousins has three straight games with 20+ completions and under 245 passing yards.
Offense: The Falcons rank 29th in third-down conversion percentage (26.3%), including 1-6 (16.7%) on 3rd-and-short, easily the worst in the league.
Defense: The Falcons have played the Steelers, Eagles, Chiefs, and Saints – they are allowing just 6.2 yards per pass (improved from 6.8 last season).
Fantasy: Bijan Robinson had eight weekly finishes better than PPR RB15 last season – his next such performance will be his first of 2024.
Betting: During his career, when playing a regular season game on short rest, Kirk Cousins led teams to cash over tickets at a 79.2% rate (19-5).
New York Jets vs. Minnesota Vikings (London)
New York Jets
Team: The Jets have won 4 straight games following a loss, tied for their longest streak since at least 2000.
QB: Aaron Rodgers has seen his pass attempt count (21-30-35-42) and his rushing attempt count (1-2-3-5) increase each week this season.
Offense: The Jets have the third-highest third-down conversion rate (46.3%), including the best on third-and-long, which is 7+ yards to go (40%). Last year, the Jets ranked last in third-and-long conversions (12.8%).
Defense: The Jets have allowed the fewest yards per attempt (5.4) on passes between the numbers. On the flip side, Sam Darnold ranks 2nd in yards per attempt (12.3) and 1st in EPA per dropback (0.58) on passes between the numbers.
Fantasy: This season, Braelon Allen has produced 44.1% over fantasy expectations, while Breece Hall sits at 9.1% below expectation through four weeks.
Betting: Seven straight Sunday morning London games have gone under the total. The last two games (Colts/Patriots and Dolphins/Chiefs) in this window saw a total of 51 points scored – the cumulative projected total for those games was 94 points.
Minnesota Vikings
Team: The Vikings are seeking to start 5-0 for the first time since 2016. Bizarrely, 2 of the last 3 times Minnesota has started 5-0 or better, they’ve missed the playoffs (2016, 2003).
QB: Sam Darnold is the 6th QB since the 1970 merger to pass for at least 11 TD in his first four games with a franchise. The others are Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, Brett Favre, Matthew Stafford, and Mark Rypien.
Offense: Scripted success. In quarters with extra prep time (first and third), the Vikings have scored a league-high 66 points. In quarters two and four, they rank in the middle of the pack with 50 points scored.
Defense: The Vikings have allowed a league-low three first-quarter points this season (they are +35 points in the first 15 minutes of games and +22 the rest of the way).
Fantasy: The game script remains elite for this running game. The Vikings have been trailing for just 2.2% of their offensive snaps (no other team is under 16%).
Betting: Unders are 5-1 when the Vikings play an AFC opponent since Brian Flores took over this defense. In the four seasons before that hire, overs were 13-4-1 (76.5%) when Minnesota played out of conference.