Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, Tua Tagovailoa, and Lamar Jackson … move on over, you have company. After another impressive performance on Thanksgiving, this time a 331-yard, three-TD effort versus Washington, the Dallas Cowboys gunslinger Dak Prescott is now fifth in the NFL MVP race, with odds of +1000 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Dak Prescott’s MVP Odds Continue to Get Shorter
Prescott, whose odds were as long at 20-1 entering Week 12 and as long as 30-1 earlier in this season, has thrown for nearly 1,900 yards, completed 70% of his passes, and has a 20-2 TD-to-INT ratio over the last six weeks, leading the Cowboys to a 5-1 record over this stretch.
During the season, we’ve seen the MVP race rotate with Jackson, Tagovailoa, Mahomes, and Hurts all spending time as the favorite and consistently being in the top five in odds. Prescott entered the week behind Houston Texans rookie C.J. Stroud and San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy but jumped them both after the blowout win.
Speaking of Thanksgiving, Prescott was 22-of-32 on pass attempts for 331 yards and four touchdowns today against the Washington Commanders. After another dominating performance, he now has a passer rating of 107.3 so far this season as well, which is a career-high for him.
A QB has won the MVP each of the last 10 seasons and in 19 of the previous 22. Currently, the shortest six players in odds are QBs, all ahead of Christian McCaffrey. Last year’s winner, Mahomes, has struggled this season but is still third in MVP odds.
Prescott will have plenty of opportunities to stamp his name in the MVP race, with upcoming games against fellow candidates Tagovailoa and Hurts. The Cowboys are two games behind the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East, which could very well decide the MVP race. Prescott’s highest MVP finish was sixth in 2016.
Will the Dallas Cowboys’ Schedule Be an Issue?
As mentioned above, the Cowboys’ remaining schedule sees Prescott taking on fellow MVP candidates Tagovailoa and Hurts. During the next few weeks, the Cowboys also need to play the Buffalo Bills, Seattle Seahawks, and Detroit Lions. Teams which, on paper, could be a challenge for this Dallas team.
However, every one of those games will likely be competitive. Something that might play into Prescott’s MVP chances.
The Seahawks are 22nd in opponents’ passing yards per game and are tied for 18th with 15 passing touchdowns allowed.
The Eagles are 28th in passing yards allowed after their Week 12 win over the Bills and are tied for the second-most opposing passing TDs with 23.
The Bills will be the toughest test for Prescott of his remaining opponents, with the team ranking 8th in passing yards allowed, but Hurts just threw three TD passes against them. Since Jalen Ramsey’s return, Miami’s pass defense has gotten a lot better, having allowed just one quarterback to throw for over 200 yards in four weeks. Detroit on the other hand, has gotten a lot worse on that end, and is coming off a 29-22 loss to the Packers, with Jordan Love throwing for 268 yards and 3 TDs.
Dallas also finishes the year with another game against the Commanders, and there is nothing that suggests that the score will be any different than the one we witnessed just last week.
So, at +1000 and with a fairly cupcake defensive schedule coming up, is Prescott a good bet for NFL MVP? Time will tell.
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