Question 1

How is the draft pick probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

Pick probabilities are computed from 122M+ crowd-sourced mock draft simulations via the Mock Draft Simulator. Each prospect's average draft position (ADP) and standard deviation are used to model a probability distribution showing the likelihood of being selected at each pick.

Question 2

What is a Team Fit Score?

Accepted Answer

The Team Fit Score is a 0-100 composite metric that measures how well a prospect fits a specific team at their draft pick. It factors in team positional need (40 points), consensus draft value (20 points), MDS crowd affinity for that player-team pairing (20 points), MDS position preference for that team (10 points), and the GM's historical drafting tendencies at that position (10 points).

Draft Probability Analyzer

Draft Probability Analyzer