10/21/21 update: Donovan Peoples-Jones was injured during pre-game warmups and is unable to play.
If you’re playing DFS in Week 7 Thursday Night Football, your options might seem limited with the Cleveland Browns welcoming the Denver Broncos to town. But nearly every team has roughly the same number of running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. Every team starts a quarterback and a kicker. So this is not a time to sulk. It’s a time to relish the opportunity to find one or two fantasy football diamonds in the rough.
NFL DFS Week 7 Bargains | Thursday Night Football
Here are my five favorite DFS plays for Week 7 Thursday Night Football, using FanDuel scoring. Collectively, this group falls well within the salary cap.
QB Teddy Bridgewater, Broncos ($14,500)
Teddy Bridgewater is officially questionable, so check back closer to kickoff. But for now, pencil him into your DFS lineup as the likely top scorer of the game. As long as his health holds up, Bridgewater has the personnel to keep the chains moving and find the end zone. He has 2+ touchdowns in four of six games this year. His two lead backs have 15 and 16 targets, respectively. He has two very capable wide receivers and a top-10 tight end. That should be enough tonight.
QB Case Keenum, Browns ($5,000)
With few exceptions, it’s important to start two quarterbacks in single-game DFS tournaments. QB floors are higher than any other position’s floor, and their ceilings are as high as any other position’s ceiling. No doubt, Case Keenum is risky. But with Jarvis Landry expected to be activated, he’ll have enough weapons to score 12+ points. At his cheap price, that’s worth it.
Which skill-position players to target for TNF DFS?
In a potentially low-scoring game, who is going to make plays?
WR Courtland Sutton, Broncos ($12,500)
The best RB/WR/TE bet of the night. Courtland Sutton has dominated in three of his last five games and will remain a focal point for Bridgewater. The only potential downside is his relatively low touchdown clip. He has only 2 scores on 53 targets (3.8%), which is about half a percentage point lower than his career average — which is still pretty low.
WR Tim Patrick, Broncos ($11,000)
This call is based on Denver’s decision not to activate Jerry Jeudy before tonight’s game. Tim Patrick’s career touchdown-to-target rate is 5.4%, and he’s tied with Noah Fant for the team lead this season with 3 scores. Patrick has long been one of my favorite undrafted fantasy assets. When given the opportunity, he has consistently stepped up for fantasy managers, and this year has been no exception.
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones, Browns ($8,500)
I’ve been pushing Donovan Peoples-Jones as a likely WR4 all week. Because I don’t trust any Cleveland RBs tonight, I like Peoples-Jones’ upside more than any teammate. Odell Beckham Jr. is on the bad side of questionable, and Jarvis Landry would offer a nice floor and only a modest ceiling if he returns. Additionally, David Njoku could pop. But for my money, Peoples-Jones offers the best shot at 16+ points, particularly if the Browns are playing from behind in the second half.