The best way of taking all of the stress out of setting NFL DFS lineups is to use an Optimizer to do the hard work for you. Our lineup generator quickly runs the numbers when it comes to projections and fantasy point-to-value ratios in order to give you multiple options to put in your DFS lineups.
Let’s examine who our DFS Optimizer sees as the top options when producing the ultimate lineup on DraftKings for Week 4.
Top Picks from Our NFL DFS Optimizer
Bijan Robinson, RB | ATL vs. NO ($7,400)
Nothing to see here — Robinson is among the very elite at the position and should see his value rise as Cousins settles in.
Bijan Robinson vs the Saints (2 games):
• 27 carries
• 119 rush yards
• 4.4 ypc
• 10 catches
• 135 recieving yards
• 254 total yards
• 2 rushing touchdowns
• 1 receiving touchdownHe hates the saints 🥱#RiseUp
pic.twitter.com/rikxvUA2tV— 𝙁𝙖𝙡𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙨 𝙈𝙪𝙨𝙚 (@ATLFalconsMuse)
He had no issues with the Saints last season, clearing 120 yards from scrimmage in both meetings, scoring three times, and earning 14 targets in the process. Robinson is matchup-proof and worthy of your DFS consideration every single time he steps onto a football field. He’s my RB2 this week and moving forward, trailing only Saquon Barkley.
Saquon Barkley, RB | PHI at TB ($8,000)
Barkley is the favorite to lead the position in scoring this season, and he reminds us just how high his ceiling is. He’s run for at least 95 yards in all three games this season, but that’s not all.
In consecutive games, he’s added at least four catches to those 95 rushing yards. It’s been six years since the last time we saw a back record three straight such games, a stat that just confirms what your eyes are seeing.
Vintage Barkley is back, and if you took him in the early second round this summer, you’re sitting pretty through three weeks.
Breece Hall, RB | NYJ vs. DEN ($7,800)
Braelon Allen has looked great to open his career (141 yards and two TDs on 25 touches) – should Hall managers worry? It depends on how you define “worry.” He’s too talented and remains too involved to fall off in a massive way, but returning value based on where you selected him is getting increasingly difficult.
Hall picked up at least 10 yards on 9% of his carries last season, a rate that has ticked down to 6.5% through three weeks this season. I’m not worried about his ability to produce chunk plays and would bet on his efficiency improving with time, but if the volume isn’t as bulletproof as we assumed, any struggles in the splash-play department create a floor that has to be considered.
Of course, there’s nothing for you to do here. I wouldn’t trade him and his 3.7 yards per carry (3.1 if you remove a single carry from Week 2 in Tennessee), and he’s pacing for over 90 receptions in an efficient offense.
I’m lowering expectations moving forward, though there is a window for him to post a big number on an extended rest against a Seahawks team that saw a high-pedigree back gash them in Week 1 (Kenneth Walker III: 20 carries for 103 yards and a touchdown).
Marvin Harrison Jr., WR | ARI vs. WAS ($7,500)
They say NFL teams script their early action to get their offense moving in the right direction. These are the plays you work on all week, hoping to set your team up for a strong 60-minute battle.
If you believe that, then it’s possible that the Cardinals like Harrison even more than fantasy managers.
Harrison’s first-quarter production this season
- Week 1: 12 routes, one target, zero yards, zero touchdowns
- Weeks 2-3: 14 routes, seven targets, 156 yards, three touchdowns
With that one-week learning curve very much in the rearview, it’s wheels up for Harrison. With Murray’s dual-threat capabilities, defenses can only allocate so much attention his way, and there are only a handful of defenders who I think can handle this rookie for 60 minutes.
You spent up on draft day, and you’re going to be happy you did.
Rashee Rice, WR | KC at LAC ($7,300)
Rice is a certified star at this point who needs to be talked about as such. This passing game relies on his ability to create yards after the catch, and that has taken away any concerns when it comes to his route count — something that was being managed this time last season.
If you take Rice’s numbers from his 12 highest route run regular-season games and extend it for an entire season:
- 114 catches
- 1,366 yards
- 8.5 touchdowns
Does any of that sound crazy? Due to the off-the-field issues this summer, Rice is positioned to be the most popular player on fantasy title teams this winter.
Christian Kirk, WR | JAX at HOU ($5,200)
If the Jaguars are going to bounce back, I think Christian Kirk holds the key. His versatility is often overlooked, and I think fantasy managers have a chance to capitalize on it now before it’s too late.
I would really like to see Christian Kirk utilized more in the #Jaguars offense. He’s their best WR.
vs. BUF:
• +12.1% CPOE
• +3.7 Rec EPA
• 3.2 avg. separation
• 8 catches
• 10 targets
• 79 yards pic.twitter.com/LencMhiIW5— Jared Feinberg (@JRodNFLDraft)
Through three weeks, Kirk owns the fifth-highest aDOT (average depth of target) for a sub-6’ receiver with a mark that is up 13.1% from last season. Due to Calvin Ridley taking his talents to Tennessee, Kirk is being used more vertically but without leaving the slot.
Kirk has accounted for 44.4% of Jacksonville’s slot targets and 47.4% of its slot receptions, a nice role to take into a matchup that has allowed a league-high four slot scores.
After a disaster of a start to the season, the slot savant was a rare Jaguar who showed up last week (8-79-0 on 10 targets), and I think we see more of the same in another positive script for Jacksonville’s passing attack.
Brock Bowers, TE | LV vs. CLE ($5,600)
If one down week is enough for you to panic on Bowers, you don’t deserve him. He was a top-five producer at the position in the first two games of his career. You’re just being greedy if you expected a prime Travis Kelce season from this uber-prospect.
I’ve got this week projected to be closer to Week 3 (3-41-0) than the standout first two weeks (average: 7.5-78-0). Bowers has more slot catches this season (11) than Adams and Meyers combined (five apiece), a role I like long term for sustainable production but less so in a matchup against a defense that is allowing the lowest completion percentage to the slot in the league (50%, league average: 70%).
Bowers managers (for the most part) drafted someone who they presumed would be their TE1 ahead of him. If that’s the case, I’m likely advising you to play that other option.
If Bowers is your only tight end, he’s talented enough to overcome a tough spot, so I wouldn’t rearrange your roster just to make room for a dart throw TE2.
Kyler Murray, QB | ARI vs. WAS ($6,800)
Murray has been great by fantasy standards this season, recording a 20+ yard run in all three games while showing flashes of brilliance in the passing game. We saw him come out of the gates on fire last week in a favorable spot against the Lions (first drive: 4-of-4 for 38 yards and a touchdown to go along with 34 rushing yards), and I’d expect more of the same this weekend.
- 14.9
- 17.2
- 19.0
- 28.5
Ending with the most recent (Week 2 against the Rams), those are Murray’s past four games as a betting favorite, a role he assumes this week against a vulnerable defense on short rest.
It’s impossible to rank Murray too high this week — the spot, the versatility, the supporting cast, and even the confidence of his counterpart. If Washington remains competitive in this game, that means we have a shootout on our hands, and it could lead to a truly special showing from Murray.
All stats are from TruMedia unless otherwise stated.
