NFL Insiders Believe Jets Drafting David Bailey Seems Inevitable, But Is It All a Smokescreen?

NFL insiders believe the New York Jets drafting Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey at number two feels like a done deal.

It’s draft season, and that always means one thing: buzz season. Every rumor feels important, every report sounds convincing, but until the picks are actually in, it’s all just noise. The truth usually doesn’t reveal itself until draft night, when the dominoes finally start to fall.

This year, much of that uncertainty centers around the New York Jets and what they plan to do with the No. 2 overall pick, a spot where many believe the draft truly begins.


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David Bailey Buzz Around the Jets Keeps Growing

For a while, Arvell Reese, the standout defender from Ohio State, looked like the clear favorite. But as we’ve gotten closer to draft night, momentum appears to be shifting toward another defensive playmaker: David Bailey out of Texas Tech.

That shift isn’t just fan speculation, it’s coming from plugged-in voices. Both Peter Schrager and Daniel Jeremiah have pointed to Bailey as the likely pick based on what they’re hearing around the league. Jeremiah summed it up by saying, “we’re kind of hearing the same thing that as we’re coming down the homestretch here, this feels more like Bailey, bird in the hand” as teams enter the final stretch before the draft.

If that’s the direction the Jets go, it would signal a preference for polish over projection. Bailey is widely viewed as the more refined pass rusher right now, and the production backs that up. He finished as the top-ranked edge defender in PFSN’s CFB Edge Impact grades and recorded 14.5 sacks, tied for the highest total in the country.

For a team like the Jets, that kind of reliability might be exactly what they’re looking for. This is a pivotal pick in their rebuild, and there’s real pressure to get it right. Opting for a proven pass-rushing presence over a higher-upside but less certain prospect could be a reflection of that urgency.

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There’s also been additional buzz from Albert Breer, who, in a conversation with Todd McShay, suggested that Bailey to the Jets is already being viewed by some teams as close to a done deal “a fait accompli,” as he put it.

Still, the value discussion is interesting. According to PFSN’s consensus big board, Bailey ranks as the No. 10 overall prospect and EDGE3. That’s a bit of a reach at No. 2 on paper, but it highlights the classic draft debate: balancing long-term upside with immediate, proven production.

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Bailey isn’t without flaws. The biggest concern is his run defense and how consistently he can hold up there at the next level. That’s likely part of what’s keeping his overall ranking slightly lower. But what he may lack there, he more than makes up for with his ability to get after the quarterback, something every defense covets.

So, is Bailey really the inevitable pick? Or is this just another well-timed smokescreen in the final days before the draft? Like everything else this time of year, we won’t know for sure until the card is turned in.

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