The New York Giants suffered through a miserable 4-13 season in 2021 and fired everyone in the front office and coaching staff. With Brian Daboll in his first season as head coach, the Giants are hoping to see signs of progress as they rebuild this roster. With a win line of seven, expectations are not high in the Big Apple. Let’s examine the Giants’ current record prediction, their projected win totals, any intriguing prop bets involving the franchise, and their betting odds to win the division, conference, and Super Bowl in 2023.
All odds are from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise stated and are correct as of July 28 at 11 a.m. ET.
New York Giants record prediction 2022
Following the release of the NFL schedule, Caesars has provided odds and spreads for all of the Giants’ 2022 regular-season matchups. Based on those numbers, the Giants are projected as favorites in three games, underdogs in 13 games, and a push in one. If the season matches those predictions, the Giants will finish with a 3-14-1 record following Week 18 of the 2022 season.
The 2021 Giants weren’t even that bad. Despite the game-by-game lines showing pessimism, the Giants’ win total is not nearly as abysmal. Their projections make more sense when considering eight of their contests have spreads of three points or less on either side.
[bet-promo id=”174860″ ]Currently predicted to finish last in the NFC East, the Giants are the clear underdog. They have some great pieces on their roster but also apparent gaps. This is a rebuilding situation where the Giants were in a cap crunch from the previous regime. Thanks Dave Gettleman.
The Giants have the 30th-most difficult schedule in 2022. It’s hard to be too optimistic on this because both the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders have a similarly easy schedule. But it’s helpful when judging how New York may navigate stretches of the season with multiple road games in a row.
Giants odds, picks, and props
Now that we know the sportsbooks prediction for the Giants on a week-by-week basis, let’s take a look at their season-long odds for win totals, the division, conference, and the Super Bowl.
- Giants win total: 7 (over +105, under -125)
- Giants to finish 4th in NFC East: +100
- NFC East winner: +800
- NFC winner: 60-to-1
- Super Bowl winner: 130-to-1
Oddsmakers expect the Giants to be stuck in mediocrity this year. They have no upside to reach the playoffs in a tough NFC East division, but they’re too good to bet on bottoming out.
For example, there’s not a clear pathway to scoring the fewest points even if quarterback Daniel Jones misses time because backup Tyrod Taylor is good enough for that outcome to not happen. So the overly optimistic and pessimistic Giants props aren’t playable for us.
The win total is the most significant bet we can make on the 2022 Giants. Daboll and defensive coordinator Wink Martindale are phenomenal coaches who will maximize the talent they have to work with. But is there enough offense to get closer to .500?
The offensive line will benefit from adding Evan Neal, Mark Glowinski, and Jon Feliciano. Along with Andrew Thomas and the list of competitors at left guard, is that enough for Jones and Saquon Barkley to lead an average or better offense? Barkley has his own health questions to answer in a contract season, and Jones has been as inconsistent as any passer over the last three years.
Giants MVP odds and player props
It’s safe to assume that any Giants MVP award would take an incredible surge from Jones or Barkley. For as unlikely as it is for any Giant to win MVP, there are some intriguing prop bets that we can get involved with.
Our best plays on the Giants involve the season-long props and NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Jones, Barkley, and Kadarius Toney have potential as a trio of playmakers. We have to get lucky with health, and that is the overarching theme for the Giants’ 2022 season outlook.
- MVP
Daniel Jones 130-to-1 - Defensive Rookie of the Year
Kayvon Thibodeaux +500 - Comeback Player of the Year
Daniel Jones +800 - Daniel Jones regular-season passing yards
Over/Under 3,650.5 (over -125, under +105) - Saquon Barkley regular-season rushing touchdowns
Over/Under 7.5 (-115) - Kayvon Thibodeaux regular-season sacks
Over/Under 7.25 (over -125, under -105)
How much of a difference can Daboll make in Year 1? He can’t control the injury bug, which wiped out each offensive skill group on the Giants for varying amounts of time in 2021. If you could tell me that Jones, Barkley, and at least two of their talented receivers would play in 15+ games, I’d be more willing to bet on this team’s props.
I’ll still get some action on the best case for the Giants in 2022. Seventh overall pick Kayvon Thibodeaux expectedly was a favorite to perform well in his rookie season. Lines on Toney and Leonard Williams would have been nice but none were available.
Jones’ passing props are conservative for a starting NFL quarterback but understandable due to the fact he’s missed 12 games over his first four seasons. His career-high for passing yards is only 3,017, and he has 21 combined touchdowns over the last two years. Jones’ passing props were set at 3,650.5 yards and 21.5 touchdowns for 2022.
Barkley, who did not appear explosive in 2021 due to a torn ACL in 2020 and a sprained ankle last year, has difficult rushing lines. He totaled just 593 rushing yards and two scores on 3.7 yards per carry last year. But his props are set at 900.5 yards and 7.5 touchdowns. Are the upgrades New York made enough to give Barkley a chance to hit those benchmarks?
Giants 2022 picks
Let’s start with the Giants’ season outlook. This team has notable strengths at receiver and along the front seven of their defense. New York’s offensive line, backfield health, and secondary depth are massive question marks.
Playing in a competitive and deep NFC East, the Giants will struggle to even hit seven games if they stay healthy. Barring Jones’ ascension to the hands-down long-term starter for the franchise and Barkley’s return to rookie form, the offense will have consistency issues that make them vulnerable to losing the few games they’re expected to win. Going game by game, I felt generous giving the Giants six wins because their flaws are so difficult to account for.
DC Martindale is great, but he’s preferred to work with stronger secondaries that can cover while he blitzes at one of the NFL’s highest rates. Adoree’ Jackson is coming off a solid season and safety Xavier McKinney is a quality starter, but the remaining unit is a huge question mark. This front seven would need to be elite to make up for their shortcomings.
The under on the Giants’ seven wins is the best play. One of my favorite preseason props of any is for the Giants to finish fourth in the division because we’re getting +100 odds on that. They’re so far behind their peers that I’m willing to go multiple units for a big return.
Optimism over the player props
Thibodeaux is a star pass rusher who should really maximize Azeez Ojulari and this beefy defensive line. Martindale doesn’t often produce one dominant sack artist due to his blitzing scheme, creating some concern. He had only two players total surpass the 7.25-sack mark over his four years in Baltimore, and Matt Judon didn’t fully break out until he was in New England.
It’s possible Thibodeaux isn’t that catalyst for the defense, but I still favor the talent to prevail. He’s that gifted and New York faces some of the worst offensive lines this season.
For Jones and Barkley, I believe the blend of Daboll’s excellent scheming and improved health of each individual and their surrounding cast will make it that much easier to achieve what are bare minimum standards for starters. We just need to get close to a full season from each to hit.
1u: Giants under 7 wins (-125)
2u: Giants to finish 4th in NFC East (+100)
1u: Thibodeaux to win DROY +500
1u: Jones over 3,650.5 passing yards (-125)
1u: Barkley over 7.5 rushing touchdowns (-115)
1u: Thibodeaux over 7.25 sacks (-125)