Justin Jefferson Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings

Already one of the best WRs in the NFL, what does Justin Jefferson's future look like, and what is his value in dynasty fantasy football leagues going forward?

As we inch toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of Justin Jefferson.

Justin Jefferson’s Dynasty Outlook and Value

The only debate surrounding Jefferson in the dynasty sphere is whether he’s the overall WR1 or WR2. That’s how good he is. For my money, he’s the best wide receiver in the NFL.

Jefferson has been the prince that was promised from the moment he set foot on an NFL field. What’s amazing is Jefferson posted an elite rookie campaign and steadily improved upon everything in each of his next two seasons.

As a rookie, Jefferson was a low-end WR1, averaging 17.1 ppg. He caught 88 of 125 targets for 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns.

As a sophomore, Jefferson was a high-end WR1, averaging 19.4 ppg, catching 108 of 167 targets for 1,616 yards and 10 touchdowns. In his third season, Jefferson was an elite WR1, averaging 21.7 ppg, with 128 receptions from 184 targets for 1,809 yards and seven scores.

MORE: Dynasty Rankings 2023 — Top Fantasy Options at Wide Receiver

The crazy part is I don’t think we’ve seen Jefferson’s best season yet. If he merely did an average of what he’s done the past two seasons for the rest of his career, he’d be worthy of the overall WR1 label in dynasty. Yet, I think he can be even better. A 2021 Cooper Kupp season is within his range of outcomes.

I’m not sure what needs to be said about Jefferson that isn’t obvious. He’s elite at just about everything. He led the NFL in receptions, yards, and yards after the catch. He also led the league in targets, routes run, and red-zone targets.

Jefferson was top 10 in target share, air-yards share, and deep targets. This is despite having an average depth of target of just 10.5 yards, meaning Jefferson is actually being targeted all over the field.

He’s the total package. The only uncertainty surrounding Jefferson’s future is his quarterback. There’s a chance Cousins leaves after this season, and the next guy may not be as good. But the reality is dynasty managers shouldn’t care much about that.

Justin Jefferson’s Fantasy Ranking

Jefferson is 24 years old and poised to be an elite WR1 for the next 6-8 years. His rookie contract expires at the end of 2023, but the Vikings will undoubtedly pick up his fifth-year option before making him the highest-paid wide receiver in the NFL.

Jefferson is not going anywhere. And if you have him on your fantasy team, he shouldn’t go anywhere, either.

We currently have Jefferson as the top-ranked wide receiver (No. 3 overall) in our dynasty Superflex rankings. It’s the dealer’s choice whether you want him or Ja’Marr Chase. If you’re opting not to take a quarterback in the first round of a dynasty startup draft, Jefferson would be the first guy I’d take.

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