Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction, Pick: Can Tua Tagovailoa continue the win streak in Week 15?

With the playoff picture emerging, let's break down the New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Week 15 clash and make a pick and prediction.

The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins will face off in a matchup between two teams heading in different directions to end the 2021 season. New York’s lost two consecutive games, sitting at the bottom of the AFC East with a 3-10 record. Miami, on the other hand, is on a five-game win streak, sitting only one game behind several teams for a spot in the playoffs. Below, you’ll find the NFL odds for this game along with my pick and prediction for the Jets vs. Dolphins.


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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins pick, prediction | Week 15

  • Spread: Dolphins -8.5 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • Moneyline: Jets +310, Dolphins -410
  • Over/Under: 42.5

Can the Dolphins keep building momentum?

The Dolphins are on one of the longest winning streaks in the NFL after starting their season with a 1-7 record. They’ve won each of their last five games, although the streak isn’t as impressive as some might anticipate.

Miami’s best wins came against the Baltimore Ravens and Carolina Panthers. They’ve also recorded wins over the Houston Texans, New York Jets, and an injured New York Giants team on this current streak.

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Most impressively, their defense has stepped up. Over their last five games, the Dolphins are allowing only 11 points per game. They also boast a +61 point differential over that span.

Although the competition has been less than stellar in recent games, it’s impressive for any team to string together five consecutive wins at the NFL level. They’re continuing to play for a possible playoff run, but Miami may need to win out if they want to have a real chance at advancing to the postseason.

Jets vs. Dolphins betting trends

New York’s been the worst team in the NFL against the spread (ATS) this season. Through 13 games, they own a league-worst 3-10 ATS record. They’re also failing to cover the spread by an average of 6.6 points per game, which is the highest mark in the NFL.

Furthermore, the Jets own a 1-4 road ATS record, failing to cover by an average of 9.3 points per game in those contests.

Miami’s found more success this season, entering this game with a 7-5-1 ATS record. They’ve covered in each of their six wins on the season, including the five games on this current win streak.

These teams have also been opposites in terms of the game total. New York’s hit the over in 53.9% of their games, while Miami’s found the under in 61.5% of theirs. The Dolphins also own a 1-5 over/under record over their last six games.

Jets vs. Dolphins prediction

The outcome of the game shouldn’t be in question — Miami’s playing for the playoffs, while New York’s already been eliminated. The Dolphins are also at home riding one of the longest winning streaks in the NFL.

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The spread is a bit wide at the moment, although I do prefer Miami as long as it stays under double-digits. With that being said, the under may be the best bet in this game, as I don’t expect New York to find much success against the Dolphins’ surging defense.

Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction: Dolphins 24, Jets 13

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