As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of QB Jared Goff.
Jared Goff’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
Goff will never win any awards, but he deserves respect for his 2022 season. He provided much-needed organizational stability at one of the most critical positions on the field. After a relatively stellar 2022 season, there’s a case to be made that the veteran signal-caller has earned the opportunity to lead the offense again in 2023. Whether or not that happens remains to be seen.
A Pro Bowler last season, Goff had his best outing since 2019. Leading the Lions to a 9-8 record, he completed 328 of his 587 attempts (65.1%) for 4,438 yards with 29 touchdowns to only seven interceptions. It was the third time Goff had made the Pro Bowl and the first since his back-to-back appearances in 2017 and 2018.
Goff was ninth in EPA+CPOE and finished with the fifth-highest EPA per play amongst quarterbacks while also ranking 13th in deep-ball attempts, 12th in air yards, seventh in yards per attempt, fifth in QBR, and first in clean-pocket accuracy. When on schedule and unpressured, Goff is as good as it gets.
However, it’s worth noting that not everything was perfect for Goff in 2022 from a fantasy standpoint. Although he did finish 10th overall, Goff made the bulk of his production while at home.
In fact, of his eight away regular-season games, Goff was held to 10 points or less on four occasions. Week 16 against Carolina was the only time he recorded more than 20 PPR points in a game away from home (25.7). Additionally, he averaged 29 yards less per game on the road. Of his touchdowns, 23 came at home compared to only six when on the road.
Jared Goff’s Fantasy Rankings
The question with Goff for dynasty is less about talent than it is about the situation. We know the type of quarterback Goff is, and so does Detroit. Given that this is another year with a top-10 pick and Goff is due $26.5 million, there’s a case to be made that it’s time for the Lions to draft their next franchise QB. That replacement is inevitable, but it’s simply a matter of when — not if.
Due to this, plus Goff having an up-and-down career while lacking an elite ceiling, he’s lower in dynasty rankings. Currently, Goff is ranked as the QB21, and in Superflex leagues, is the No. 93 ranked player as quarterbacks see an increased value due to positional scarcity.
It does need to be noted this is before any rookie QBs have been added, so in reality, Goff is closer to the QB25 range as all four of the top-four QBs (C.J. Stroud, Bryce Young, Anthony Richardson, and Will Levis) will be ranked ahead of him. Depending on draft capital and landing spot, Hendon Hooker could be a dark horse as well.
It’s hard to move Goff in dynasty, given his age and lack of upside. But so long as he’s a starter and the Lions keep building on their momentum with several high-end players like Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and D’Andre Swift, Goff will likely stay in the mid-QB2 territory with weeks where he flirts with the top 12. Whether as a backup in 1QB leagues or as a high-upside fill-in for Superflex, Goff has earned a spot on fantasy rosters.
However, the odds are 2023 is the last year for Goff to be a starter, so managers need to plan their moves wisely and know when to get out before the bottom falls.
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