The Jacksonville Jaguars reclaimed the AFC South lead from the Indianapolis Colts following their blowout win over their division rivals. The Jaguars are now in a prime position to win both the division and make the playoffs. Let’s take a look at their updated odds after their blowout victory over the New York Jets in Week 15.
What Are The Jaguars’ Playoff Chances in Week 15?
The Jacksonville Jaguars entered Week 14 tied with the Indianapolis Colts at 8–4, setting up a pivotal showdown with control of the AFC South on the line. Jacksonville responded with its most complete performance of the season, dominating from start to finish and energizing a home crowd that’s watched the team catch fire over the past month.
The Jaguars are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, as they have now won five straight following thier blowout victory in Week 15. Trevor Lawrence is playing the best football of his career, turning into the engine of Jacksonville’s late-season surge after an inconsistent start to the season.
With their latest win, the Jaguars now have a 63.1% chance of winning the division and a 97.6% chance of winning the playoffs, per PFSN’s Playoff Predictor. They also have an 8.5% chance of securing the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
Unfortunately for Jacksonville, the Houston Texans also won on Sunday, blowing out the Arizona Cardinals. Since Houston and Jacksonville both won, they will be watching the Seattle Seahawks-Indianapolis Colts game closely tonight.
If the Colts win, the Jaguars’ updated playoff odds will be:
- Playoff chances: 96.4%
- Division chances: 53.8%
If Indianapolis loses, the Jaguars’ updated playoff odds will be:
- Playoff chances: 97.4%
- Division chances: 56.7%
Next up, the Jaguars face a challenging road stretch: a trip to Denver to play the red-hot Broncos, followed by a divisional showdown against the Colts. They’ll close the regular season at home against the Titans. To secure the AFC South, Jacksonville will need to fend off both Indianapolis and the surging Texans over the final month.
The Colts’ situation is complicated by Daniel Jones’ injury, which prompted the surprising signing of 44-year-old Philip Rivers. At the same time, the Texans remain a legitimate threat with a similarly manageable schedule and a six-game winning streak of their own.
Even so, with Lawrence in peak form and the Jaguars averaging over 30 points per game across their last seven outings, Jacksonville’s postseason outlook remains strong. The addition of Jakobi Meyers has elevated the passing attack, and as long as the offense continues to fire at this level, the Jaguars will remain in full control of their playoff destiny.
