If you’re planning to make Week 3 NFL prop bets for Monday Night Football’s New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys matchup, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated as well as fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on FanDuel Sportsbook or BetMGM.
Giants vs. Cowboys prop bets to target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. Criteria such as age, durability, shifting personnel, scheduling, and other factors help shape these final assessments.
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Giants Week 3 prop bets
For a team that’s expected to look a lot different this time next year, the undefeated Giants are somehow in the thick of the NFC East. And with two winnable home games in Weeks 3 and 4, eventually we might need to assess what this team is doing right more than what they’re doing wrong.
Remarkably, three of New York’s top four receivers entering the season — Kenny Golladay, Kadarius Toney, and Wan’Dale Robinson — have combined for only five catches and 37 scoreless yards. The once-crowded WR corps now seems a little more top-heavy, with veteran Sterling Shepard and journeyman Richie James leading the way. This added clarity narrows the range of statistical probabilities just a bit. If Daniel Jones does his job tonight, there’s a good bet Shepard or James (or both) will be a major beneficiary.
However, Dallas’s defense will be the X-factor against an offense that relies heavily on Saquon Barkley to open up the passing game. And the Cowboys have given up the eighth-fewest rushing yards in the league despite facing Leonard Fournette and Joe Mixon. Most Giants prop bets hinge on the extent to which the Dallas defense is the real deal because New York’s path to mediocrity is already narrow.
Jones passing yards under 200.5 (-113) — FanDuel
Jones passing TDs under 1.5 (-265) — FanDuel
Barkley rushing yards under 77.5 (-113) — FanDuel
Cowboys Week 3 prop bets
Dallas is trying to hold on until Dak Prescott returns. Once he does, assuming no significant injuries to their core RB/WR/TE group, this team should boast one of the NFC’s most potent offenses. Tonight, however, they’ll face an uphill battle to score 20+ with Cooper Rush at QB.
That’s not to say Rush can’t get it done; he’s an upper-half NFL backup QB who looked pretty good against Cincinnati last week — the same Bengals defense that exposed Joe Flacco. Sure, apples and oranges . . . to an extent. Coming out of college, Rush was known as a very smart QB whose only limitations were physical, not mental.
Even if Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard fail to make headway, CeeDee Lamb, a returning Michael Gallup, and other key pass-catchers should be able to break through where Tennessee’s and Carolina’s sub-par passing attacks could not.
Rush rushing yards under 2.5 (-110) — BetMGM
Rush passing TDs over 1.5 (+165) — BetMGM
Rush completions over 19.5 (-110) — BetMGM
Rush passing yards under 210.5 (-113) — FanDuel
Elliott rushing yards under 58.5 (-105) — BetMGM
Pollard rushing attempts under 8.5 (-113) — FanDuel
Pollard receptions over 2.5 (-115) — FanDuel
Lamb receptions over 5.5 (+124) — FanDuel
Lamb receiving yards under 57.5 (-113) — FanDuel
