To say that the 10th overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft hasn’t gotten much help would be an understatement to the highest degree. Since New York Jets WR Garrett Wilson entered the league, here are the instances in which a team as a whole has failed to post a passer rating north of 75.0:
- 2022 New York Jets
- 2023 New York Jets
- 2023 New England Patriots
- 2023 Cleveland Browns
Despite the Jets’ struggles, Wilson has given fantasy football managers 80+ catches and 1,000+ yards in both of his NFL seasons. With Aaron Rodgers again projected to take this offense to new levels, is this the season Wilson returns first-round value?
Should You Select Garrett Wilson at His Current ADP?
ADP: 14th Overall (WR8)
Wilson is going around the Round 1-2 turn in most leagues, nearly identical to where he checked in at this time last year, which makes sense. Realistically, why would we pivot from our Rodgers-based excitement around him after having not seen it?
If I’m getting into the Wilson business this season, I’d want to insulate my roster with some safety. Wilson carries enough upside to afford you the luxury to do so, so I’d be looking to pair him with seemingly “safe” players like Jonathan Taylor, Kyren Williams, or Puka Nacua in the first two rounds.
READ MORE: The Perfect Fantasy Football Draft From the 12 Spot: Jonathan Taylor, Mike Evans, and Others
Every draft is different, but these are players with locked-in roles who provide a solid foundation for pursuing the Rodgers/Wilson tandem. I also wouldn’t be against pushing all of your chips in and drafting Rodgers late as a draft-two-for-one-spot play at the quarterback position.
If you’re drafting Wilson as the key member of your championship team, you’re already betting on Rodgers, so why not fully embrace it?
Wilson’s Fantasy Profile for the 2024 NFL Season
What do we know about Wilson through two seasons? We know that the athletic profile is as elite as we suspected and that the ceiling efforts are there.
Despite the struggles listed above, Wilson does have five 100-yard games on his NFL résumé. He has more catches in each of his professional seasons than Mike Evans or Amari Cooper has in either of their past two.
Talent and opportunity are bubbling beneath the surface; we just need some stability under center to unlock them.
Aaron Rodgers ➡️ Garrett Wilson is gonna be so fun to watch this season 🎯 pic.twitter.com/2O3pRlvjNC
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) August 26, 2023
There’s no debating that Rodgers is going to upgrade the quarterback position, but he comes with a wide range of outcomes. Not long ago, he won back-to-back MVPs, but Rodgers also posted the lowest passer rating of his career in his final season with the Green Bay Packers. He is a 40-year-old coming off a brutal injury.
How lucky do you feel?
On the bright side, the two seasons with bottom-of-the-barrel QB play have given us an idea of what the floor is for Wilson, and it’s not that bad. Of course, it would be a disappointing return on investment given his ADP, but it wouldn’t sink your roster, which is why he’s an interesting buy in the second round.
The downside isn’t catastrophic, while the upside is that of a league winner at a discount.