Pebble Beach DFS Picks: Tommy Fleetwood Over Si Woo Kim for One-and-Done

Scottie Scheffler feels inevitable at times, but his price point is often prohibitive. Having some of his fellow elites taking the course this week helps mitigate that at some level, but you’re still being asked to pay a DFS premium for World No. 1.

McIlroy won this event last season, Si Woo Kim is playing the best golf of his life, and Chris Gotterup is pacing for a double-digit win season. There are viable lineups to build no matter what you do at the top, so let’s get into the rankings and see what makes the most sense for your contest type.

2026 AT&T Pebble Beach DFS Ranking Process

We’ve got a course rotation for the first two days, with those who make the cut playing the same track for the weekend. Spyglass Hill is the course that gets one round, with Pebble Beach getting our attention for three of the four days.

I’ve crafted my rankings around Pebble Beach. Yes, 25% of the event comes on a different course that requires a slightly different skill set, but the best player on Spyglass is assured of exactly nothing with the weekend rounds not coming there.

Coastal winds can be a serious issue at this event, and while that is more of an hour-by-hour thing, it is something that I’ll have more insight on as tee time nears. For what it’s worth, Spyglass is slightly more tree-lined, making it the lesser of the two courses when it comes to the impact of winds.

Pebble Beach has poa green surfaces, and that’s not unique, but the size is. They’re tiny. That puts a premium on iron play: stick it on the green, and you’re close to the hole. Putting will naturally be important, but I’m not playing the guessing game in a major way when it comes to that. I like to think that everyone, by the end of 72 holes, is going to be similar with the flat stick inside of eight feet, which are the looks that the best iron players are going to be generating.

So how do we build the winning profile?

Well, let’s work backwards to start with this onion. Short putting is going to be important, and that means putting yourself in a spot to throw darts with the irons. And guess what that means? Putting yourself in the fairway, especially when clubbing down at a shorter course like this.

Top Off-the-Tee Golfers, Less Than Driver

1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Rory McIlroy
3. Si Woo Kim
4. Ludvig Aberg
5. Sam Stevens
6. Keith Mitchell
7. Aaron Rai
8. Kevin Yu
9. Rico Hoey
10. Brian Harman
11. Collin Morikawa
12. Corey Conners
13. Shane Lowry
14. Viktor Hovland
15. Tommy Fleetwood

That’s a good start. We are beginning to order some of these big names and also unearthing some potential value players.

Let’s keep going.

I know I’m going to weigh approach play in a heavy way, and that means that everyone in my player pool is going to have upside in that regard. But if you’ve ever golfed, you’re well aware that not everything goes to plan on every shot.

With these microscopic greens, we are going to see plenty of misses, even from the best in the world. I trust the stats to get us to a point where our golfers will be missing less often than the field, and that means I want to emphasize those who will correct those misses with saves.

Let’s look at how the 15 names above rank around the surface over the last 12 months, highlighting courses similar to this one.

Around the Green Rankings

• Scottie Scheffler: 17th
• Rory McIlroy: 29th
• Si Woo Kim: 7th
• Ludvig Aberg: 37th
• Sam Stevens: 10th
• Keith Mitchell: 79th
• Aaron Rai: 48th
• Kevin Yu: 49th
• Rico Hoey: 57th
• Brian Harman: 32nd
• Collin Morikawa: 71st
• Corey Conners: 70th
• Shane Lowry: 26th
• Viktor Hovland: 77th
• Tommy Fleetwood: 6th

Now we are building out something that we can bank on.

2026 AT&T Pebble Beach DFS Rankings

The 15 names above are all interesting data points, but not all make my top 20 for the week. As you can see from what I value most, it shouldn’t surprise you where I’m leaning for one-and-done.

1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Si Woo Kim
3. Russell Henley
4. Tommy Fleetwood
5. Rory McIlroy
6. Matt Fitzpatrick
7. JJ Spaun
8. Viktor Hovland
9. Rico Hoey
10. Aaron Rai
11. Lucas Glover
12. Patrick Cantlay
13. Hideki Matsuyama
14. Shane Lowry
15. Ryan Gerard
16. Max McGreevy
17. Cam Young
18. Corey Conners
19. Maverick McNealy
20. Collin Morikawa

You’ll get my official DFS lineup on Wednesday, but you likely have an idea of where I’m leaning.

Tommy Fleetwood’s Stinger game strong 💪 pic.twitter.com/5IIS2Z2OJs

— Los Angeles Golf Club (@WeAreLAGC) February 10, 2026

I’m playing all of my one-and-done picks for this piece in a tournament. So far I’ve used Russell Henley (T-19 at Sony), Sepp Straka (MC at AmEx), Hideki Matsuyama (T-11 at Farmers), and Si Woo Kim (T-3 at WM Phoenix).

Over the past 12 months, Fleetwood has been stronger against strong competition and a plus poa putter. He’s also coming off the best approach season of his career, and while he’s yet to play stateside this season, he’s been getting reps overseas on the DP World Tour.

He finished T-22 at this event a season ago, though some of that was skewed by a shaky round at Spyglass and a slow start at Pebble. He played his final 41 holes, all at Pebble, at nine under par, controlling the par 5s and excelling in the ball-striking categories.

Since that showing, Fleetwood has played three events where the course is shorter than PGA standards, and he’s finished no worse than seventh in them (RBC Heritage, Truist, and Travelers).

You could argue that keeping Tommy Lad in your holster is plenty viable, and I wouldn’t argue. That said, there is more depth on Tour than ever, and that has me not afraid to pay up at this signature event.