Should I Draft Mark Andrews? Fantasy Outlook for the Ravens TE in 2025

Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews is coming off the worst season of his career, excluding his rookie year. He simply wasn’t a difference-maker at the position in fantasy football. Should fantasy managers bank on Andrews returning to being Lamar Jackson’s top option in 2025?

Mark Andrews Fantasy Outlook

It’s tough to know what to make of Andrews’ 2024 season. Isaiah Likely played well, filling in for an injured Andrews during the second half of the 2023 season. As a result, he earned a more significant role last year. From the jump, Andrews was negatively impacted.

From Weeks 1 to 4, Andrews scored 12.5 fantasy points. That included back-to-back games with zero catches in Weeks 3 and 4. Then, from Week 5 onward, Andrews averaged 13.56 fantasy points per game, which aligns with what he did almost every year of his career outside of his outlier 2021 season. On the surface, he was his usual self.

If you drafted Andrews, you may not have liked how he got there, but he returned the value you asked for. Looking purely at the final numbers, it seems mostly fine. But digging deeper, I see there are many concerns.

Andrews’ Usage Dropped Considerably

Let’s start with how much Andrews even saw the field. Andrews’ snap share was just 61.7%, 25th in the league. Now, to be fair, tight end snaps don’t matter. We need them to run routes. Well, Andrews ran a route on 58.3% of Lamar Jackson’s dropbacks, 22nd in the league. Not good.

Most concerning were Andrews’ target share and targets per route run rate. From 2019 to 2023, Andrews’ lowest target share was 22.2%. He was in the top four in target share each of those seasons. Last year, he commanded a 15.3% target share, 18th in the league.

At his peak, Andrews saw a targets-per-route rate as high as 42.4%. Last year, it was 23.6%, 18th in the league.

With his volume way down, how did Andrews maintain his fantasy value?

Andrews Was Entirely Reliant On Touchdowns

In 17 games, Andrews caught 55 passes. For context, he had 45 receptions in 2023 in just 10 games. His 673 receiving yards marked his lowest total since his rookie season. Based on his yardage total, he should’ve scored roughly five touchdowns. He had 11 of them.

From Week 6 through the end of the regular season, Andrews scored in all but two games.

While Andrews is a prominent end zone target and can be reasonably expected to outperform his expected touchdown rate, this was absurd. He scored a touchdown on 20% of his receptions.

Mark Andrews has scored a TD on 21.1% of his receptions so far this season, totaling 11 TDs on 52 receptions. 👀

From 2022-23, it took him 118 receptions to reach the 11 TD mark, a rate of only 9.3%. pic.twitter.com/YNotTPoO7F

— PFSN (@PFN365) January 4, 2025

Andrews managed a TE7 finish last season, which is precisely where his ADP is and where my ranking of him is. However, there’s very little separating the back-end TE1s.

MORE: Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator

I was high on Andrews entering last season and got bailed out by a whole lot of touchdowns. This year, if I’m waiting to draft a tight end until the range at which Andrews goes, I will likely wait even longer and take a borderline TE1/2 or stream the position.

Mason LeBeau‘s Mark Andrews Fantasy Projection

Mark Andrews is a tough player to figure out. On one hand, I don’t want to hold too much against him from last year. He was in a car crash just a few weeks before the season, and while the reports were that he was okay, it was clear he wasn’t at full health to start the season. This resulted in a very slow start, including two one-target games and just six catches for 65 yards throughout the first four weeks. 

Upon his full return to a regular snap count, we got back the Andrews that we’re used to. 11 touchdowns would be a career-high, finishing the season with a score in each of the final six weeks, and in 10 of the final 12 games. Andrews became a savvy play late in the fantasy season and for league playoffs. So, since nothing’s changed, he’s healthy, and on a hot streak, he should be a screaming value at his current price, right? 

Uh, kinda. I won’t shy away from taking Andrews — his price is as low as ever, and the upside is still clearly there. Getting a big target that’s tied to an elite offense is always worth a shot. That said, there’s some skepticism. 

The touchdowns saved his fantasy stock a lot; he did not receive a high volume of targets. Upon his full return, he had four games with only two receptions, and maxed out at six or seven targets. He was highly efficient, but should those touchdowns go away, he still would’ve been a bad start. QB Lamar Jackson threw for 41 touchdowns, and while that’s entirely within his upside, he’s also thrown between 17 and 26 total in a season for most of his career. 

Take Andrews at his cost if you’re confident in him. Just stay vigilant for an alternative option if his scoring dries up. Perhaps he’ll be healthier this time and see a higher percentage of targets. However, considering his age and injury history, keeping an alternative option on hand will be best.