Justice Hill is no threat to Derrick Henry’s lead back status, but he has displayed weekly upside in the right situations. As the Baltimore Ravens’ primary receiving back, Hill could be useful if fantasy football managers can figure out when to start him. Is that profile worth having on fantasy rosters?
Justice Hill Fantasy Outlook
It may not seem like much, but Hill was quite serviceable in fantasy last season. His 8.5 fantasy points per game were good for an overall RB38 finish. That’s not quite enough to want to start him, but it’s certainly enough to justify a roster spot. He’s the type of guy you could always plug into your fantasy lineup in a pinch and know he won’t get you zero.
Henry is a true alpha, but he’s never been a heavy snap share guy. He dominates carries, but cedes plenty of snaps, especially passing down work, to whoever his team’s RB2 is. Last year, that was Hill.
The Ravens’ satellite back played 42% of the snaps and earned a 12.5% target share, which was seventh in the league. And it wasn’t just volume. Hill was efficient, averaging 2.42 yards per route run, also seventh in the league.
All Justice Hill 15+ yard receptions from the 2024 nfl season pic.twitter.com/ywY7zJa5gd
— Yuri (@Yuri_Ravens) June 19, 2025
Hill posted five games of double-digit fantasy points, including two RB1 performances. The problem was it was difficult to predict when Hill would do it.
Surprisingly, four of them came in Ravens wins, with three coming in blowout victories. It really came down to whether Hill surprisingly scored a touchdown. While Hill played more in games the Ravens trailed, that didn’t necessarily correlate with fantasy production. Additionally, the Ravens don’t often find themselves in a negative game script. It’s not really something we can bank on.
This year, the Ravens have Keaton Mitchell back healthy. However, I would not view him as a threat to Hill’s role. But he does cap Hill’s upside because if Henry were to go down, Mitchell would likely step into the lead back role, leaving Hill’s role unchanged.
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With an RB60 ADP, Hill is quite cheap. I have him ranked RB59, right in line with consensus. Yet, I’m never going to take him.
There will inevitably be weeks during the season where you’d love to have a guy like Hill to plug into your lineup. However, you can’t draft that guy. Pick him up off waivers. You can find 8-10 points. In the draft, you need to chase upside. I’d much rather draft backs with a chance to see increased volume either through performance or injury.
Cameron Sheath’s Justice Hill Fantasy Projection
Justice Hill is an afterthought in fantasy. The 2019 fourth-round pick has spent his entire career with the AFC North side so far, but has started just five games. With Derrick Henry monopolizing touches, that’s unlikely to change anytime soon, who may even lose what little work he did have to Keaton Mitchell in 2025.
As a handcuff, Hill should be exciting, but he did very little with the five starts he had in 2023. It isn’t easy to see Hill’s career moving in a positive direction at this point. Henry was rewarded with a contract extension during the offseason, while Hill had almost no fantasy impact at all with Mitchell sidelined last season.
In deeper leagues, you could be forgiven for spending a late pick on Hill if you took Henry early, but there are several more exciting players to take shots on with your final picks. Outside of an injury to Henry, reading this will likely be the most time you spend thinking about Hill in fantasy until at least next August.
