Javonte Williams Fantasy Projection 2026: Should You Draft the Cowboys RB?

Javonte Williams' fantasy production outran his actual performance in 2025. Should fantasy managers pay up for the Cowboys RB again in 2026?

Heading into last season, the Dallas Cowboys had the quintessential ambiguous backfield. Fantasy football managers really had no idea how the workload would shake out. As it turns out, there was no committee.

It was the Javonte Williams show, and his performance earned him a contract extension. Are fantasy managers willing to do the same and buy Williams in 2026 at an increased price?

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Should You Draft Cowboys RB Javonte Williams in Fantasy Football?

It doesn’t get much better than 2025 Williams. A guy who was largely an afterthought in fantasy drafts — a late-round dart throw — went on to finish as a fantasy RB1.

Williams was given the first shot at leading the Cowboys’ backfield with no guarantee of workload. His performance earned him the feature-back role.

The former Bronco had one of the best roles in the NFL. He commanded a 69% opportunity share, carrying the ball 252 times for 1,202 yards and scoring a total of 13 touchdowns. Williams averaged a career-best 15.2 fantasy points per game.

The volume was great, and it projects to be pretty great once again. And, as we know, volume is king in fantasy football. But… there are concerns.

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Despite the contract extension, Williams isn’t exactly an established guy who has no risk of losing opportunity. If he doesn’t play well, the Cowboys will turn to Malik Davis or perhaps Jaydon Blue to see if either can provide a spark. Williams should have a pretty sizable leash, but he’s not invincible. That means he needs to continue to perform to maintain his valuable fantasy role.

There is one major wart on Williams’ profile, and it’s his receiving ability. Williams earned just an 8.7% target share last season. When Dak Prescott threw him the ball, it didn’t go well. Williams’ 0.48 yards per route run ranked 30th among qualified running backs. Historically, running backs who average below 1.0 yards per route run frequently fail to meet ADP expectations the following season. It’s a major red flag.

Williams’ Redraft Fantasy Football Value

Before drafting Williams, ask yourself why you want to draft him. What’s the main reason? If the answer is purely volume, then you should reconsider.

The running back dead zone isn’t really a thing anymore. But the reason it ever existed in the first place was that it was a pocket in drafts where fantasy managers would take running backs who weren’t particularly talented, but projected for heavy volume, usually based on the very dangerous premise of, “Well, who else is going to touch the ball?”

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Williams is better than the Mike Davises and Zamir Whites of the world, but he wasn’t really a special player last season. Nothing about his performance suggests the Cowboys need to feature him. He was merely the best option they had. As long as that remains the case, he’ll be fine. But he didn’t quite do enough to leave us confident it will.

Williams wasn’t particularly effective on a per-touch basis, averaging just 4.7 yards. His yards created per touch and evaded tackles per touch rate both ranked outside the top 30. While efficiency tends to be a bit noisy and more dependent on the offensive environment, there’s no denying that Williams’ fantasy production outran his actual performance.

As is often the case in modern fantasy football, though, the fantasy community is wise to this. 5-10 years ago, Williams would be going at the 1/2 turn. Instead, he’s the RB16, which is a much more palatable price tag.

READ MORE: 2026 Controversial Fantasy Football Running Back Depth Charts: Who To Draft In These Confusing Rooms

We have Williams at RB14 in our consensus rankings, but I have him down at RB19. I do believe in the Cowboys’ offense, which gives Williams a safe floor. However, it’s very difficult to see him outperforming his ADP expectation by a meaningful amount.

What he did last season feels like a best-case scenario. A repeat of last year would make him a good pick at cost, but he goes in a range where the wide receivers are much more appealing. As a result, I doubt I will have much Williams in 2026.

Preseason Fantasy RB Rankings

  1. Bijan Robinson | ATL
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs | DET
  3. James Cook III | BUF
  4. Jonathan Taylor | IND
  5. Ashton Jeanty | LV
  6. Christian McCaffrey | SF
  7. Saquon Barkley | PHI
  8. Chase Brown | CIN
  9. De’Von Achane | MIA
  10. Derrick Henry | BAL
  11. Kenneth Walker III | KC
  12. Jeremiyah Love | ARI
  13. Omarion Hampton | LAC
  14. Javonte Williams | DAL
  15. Breece Hall | NYJ
  16. Kyren Williams | LAR
  17. D’Andre Swift | CHI
  18. Travis Etienne Jr. | NO
  19. Josh Jacobs | GB
  20. Cam Skattebo | NYG
  21. David Montgomery | HOU
  22. Bhayshul Tuten | JAX
  23. TreVeyon Henderson | NE
  24. Quinshon Judkins | CLE
  25. Jaylen Warren | PIT
  26. Bucky Irving | TB
  27. Jadarian Price | SEA
  28. Rhamondre Stevenson | NE
  29. Chuba Hubbard | CAR
  30. Kenny Gainwell | TB
  31. Tony Pollard | TEN
  32. Jordan Mason | MIN
  33. Rico Dowdle | PIT
  34. Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS
  35. Blake Corum | LAR
  36. RJ Harvey | DEN
  37. Kyle Monangai | CHI
  38. Rachaad White | WAS
  39. Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX
  40. Zach Charbonnet | SEA
  41. Aaron Jones Sr. | MIN
  42. Jonathon Brooks | CAR
  43. J.K. Dobbins | DEN
  44. Tyler Allgeier | ARI
  45. Tyrone Tracy Jr. | NYG
  46. Isiah Pacheco | DET
  47. Woody Marks | HOU
  48. Tyjae Spears | TEN
  49. Nick Singleton | TEN
  50. Brian Robinson Jr. | ATL

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