Dolphins WRs Fantasy Outlooks: Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle

The Miami Dolphins’ star receiver duo presents one of fantasy football’s most perplexing puzzles heading into 2025. Tyreek Hill’s dramatic fall from elite status has fantasy managers questioning whether his late third-round ADP represents a golden opportunity or a dangerous trap.

Tyreek Hill Fantasy Outlook

The question surrounding Tyreek Hill is whether buying him at the dip is a savvy move or just a trap. Hill’s ADP has fallen to the late third round among names like Garrett Wilson, Terry McLaurin, and Marvin Harrison Jr. It’s been nearly a decade since Hill arrived as an elite fantasy producer, so was 2024 a write-off, or the beginning of the end?

Hill reportedly played last year with a wrist injury that he suffered in training camp and required surgery after the season. To make matters worse, QB Tua Tagovailoa was hurt for several games again. In the six weeks he missed, Hill only had 100-plus yards in one of those games, and never crossed the end zone. However, taking into account the 11 games Tagovailoa did play, Hill’s per-17 stats still barely cross 1,000 total yards. 

Tyreek Hill – Late 3rd / Early 4th ADP

– Value: should be going in the 1st/2nd
– Wrist injury healed
– Target volume: 140+
– Proven production (seasons with at least 15 games): WR4, WR1, WR2, WR6, WR2, WR2
– Continuity in offense
– It’s Tyreek Hillpic.twitter.com/JtqHm1dU7I

— Joshua Cho (@jbchoknows) July 25, 2025

The stark statistical drop-off is very worrisome. Hill managed 1,700-plus yards in each of his first two seasons in Miami, the first of which Tagovailoa also missed multiple games for. 2025 wasn’t just Hill’s worst season with the Dolphins, but it was essentially the worst season since his rookie year. An injury-shortened 2019 was the only other time Hill finished below 1,000 yards, and he was still nearly as productive on 34 fewer targets. 

His 959 yards in 17 games, 11 of which Tagovailoa played, are horrific. That’s less than DJ Moore managed in last year’s Chicago offense, or less than Jauan Jennings, who didn’t become a starter until a few weeks into the season.

If you want to play a risk-averse game, there’s little reason to take a chance. However, should his stock continue to fall, it might be an ideal buy-low. If his injury truly was enough to hinder him, then it’s possible we get another strong performance before his speed starts to fall off. That said, you’re also relying on Tagovailoa to stay healthy, making this twice as difficult a bet. 

– Mason LeBeau, Fantasy Football Analyst

Jaylen Waddle Fantasy Outlook

One of the scariest picks to make in fantasy, I won’t be surprised if Jaylen Waddle falls below his WR33 value in drafts. I’ve been burned by him, too, and I’d struggle to trust him, but his value is near his floor.  Other receivers in this range, such as Chris Olave, Deebo Samuel, Jerry Jeudy, and Chris Godwin, I trust less for this season. A few others I like more, like Calvin Ridley and Jakobi Meyers, don’t have the same ceiling. 

I’m not going to tell you to draft Waddle if you don’t want to, because I’m still not sure if I would. Still, things seem to be lining up for him. It really doesn’t feel like Tyreek Hill is going to spend the entire season as a Dolphin, and if he goes, Waddle could see a massive workload similar to his rookie season. It certainly feels like he misses a lot of games because he’s easily banged up, but he’s only missed six total in his four years so far. 

That said, Waddle was bad enough last year to avoid. In 15 games, he only managed 744 yards and two scores, which isn’t close to good enough. This is the same offense, same play caller, and is still across from Tyreek Hill. I like to think Mike McDaniel has gameplanned for Waddle to be more in a WR1 role, but his usage last year was confusing, even when Hill played poorly. On top of all that, you’re relying on Tagovailoa’s health. 

So, Waddle feels equal parts an easy mid-round target yet terrifyingly unreliable. I think he’s worth an add if he slips beyond his ADP. Otherwise, I’m likely targeting him as a FLEX option where I’m not relying on him, as long as you have two WRs you trust already. 

– Mason LeBeau, Fantasy Football Analyst