Dallas Goedert proved his value to the Eagles with a touchdown in the Wild Card win over the Packers and nine touches in the NFC championship game against the Commanders. Still, the veteran tight end has seen his standing in the fantasy football world slip with age.
Should he be viewed as a viable wait-for-TE option in the late rounds this summer, or are you better off rolling the dice on a player with a broader range of outcomes?
Dallas Goedert’s Fantasy Outlook
Dallas Goedert isn’t washed up.
Goedert doesn’t need to be drafted.
Both things can be true, and in my opinion, they are true. On the one hand, he was the fourth-best YAC performer at the position a season ago, a strength that has been consistent for four years and should be sustained given the coverages he faces due to the respect given to this ground game.
On the other hand, he didn’t clear 30 routes run in a regular season game after Week 3 and hasn’t earned more than five end zone targets in a season since 2019.
In years past, simply being part of an explosive offense was enough to generate interest in fantasy circles. The tight end position used to be defined by touchdowns, with very few big men offering much in the way of volume, but we are in the midst of a stylistic change, and that’s what has Goedert’s stock crashing.
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Brock Bowers and Trey McBride are ushering in an era of tight ends, and they are actual difference makers on the offensive side of the ball. We saw Tyler Warren (IND) and Colston Loveland (CHI) demand first-round draft capital this spring, Evan Engram being a target in free agency, and Mike Gesicki getting a surprise deal from the Bengals.
The NFL is telling us something. All we have to do is listen.
Average Depth of Target, NFL Averages
- 2016-18: 8.2 yards
- 2019-21: 7.9 yards
- 2022-24: 7.7 yards
The thirst for chain-moving options is rising, with defensive coordinators obsessed with taking away the spike plays. Goedert can do this, of course, but with two strong receivers and an elite run game, Philadelphia doesn’t need to call his number quite the way others have to look in this direction (see above with the Raiders, Cardinals, Colts, and others).
The moral of the story is that Goedert’s five-to-six-target role, a window he’s been slotted in for six straight seasons, is nowhere near as impactful in our game as it once was.
What separates him from tight ends in offenses with more room to grow (i.e., Patriots or Titans)? How different is he from tight ends in offenses with more upside by how their quarterback plays and/or their offense is structured (Texans, Chargers, and Jaguars)?
Dallas Goedert
last yr in the 8 gms he played at least 60% of the snaps
20.2% target share
55.1 receiving yds/game
2.23 YPRR
25.2% 1st-read share
11.8 PPR ppglast year among 47 qual TEs that would have ranked
(per @FantasyPtsData)6th
4th
4th
3rd
TE8— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) July 3, 2025
Goedert is fine. We know what he is. He is coming off the two best seasons of his career in terms of percentage of red zone routes that net a target, and that gives him a little more upside than you might suspect in just glancing at his year-end totals.
Given the asking price, I doubt you’re relying on Goedert significantly, but because of his name value, if you draft him, you’ll likely hold onto him a week too long if things start to look bleak. Maybe a month too long.
Goedert has cleared 55 receiving yards in just four of his past 17 regular-season games and will not find his way on any of my redraft rosters this summer. The best case scenario simply isn’t high enough for me to go his direction, even in the later rounds.
Frank Ammirante’s Dallas Goedert Fantasy Projection
Dallas Goedert is coming off a disappointing season in which he caught 42 of 52 targets for 496 yards and two touchdowns. The Eagles are a run-heavy offense with too many mouths to feed. However, there’s a reasonable chance that we’ll see an increase in passing volume this season, as the Eagles have a much tougher schedule.
Additionally, Goedert has contingent upside. If AJ Brown or DeVonta Smith were to miss time, Goedert would become a strong option. With that in mind, waiting on tight end and pairing Goedert with someone like Jake Ferguson makes a lot of sense in deeper formats. However, in shallower leagues, I’d aim higher, going for a younger player like Tucker Kraft.
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If you’re building an Eagles stack in Best Ball, Goedert makes a lot of sense. Take one of the wideouts so that you’d benefit if the other one missed time — I’d much rather have Goedert than someone like Dalton Kincaid.
