Should I Draft Braelon Allen? Fantasy Outlook for the Jets RB in 2025

At times, the Jets used three running backs last season. Where does Braelon Allen stand in the hierarchy? Is he the backup RB fantasy managers should draft?

Braelon Allen was a popular prospect ahead of last year’s NFL Draft, but unfortunately got stuck behind Breece Hall with the New York Jets. Following an up-and-down rookie year, is Allen positioned to be the primary Hall handcuff for 2025 fantasy football?

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Braelon Allen Fantasy Outlook

Allen is a great example of the overconfidence of fantasy managers in drafting handcuffs. The primary argument against handcuffing your running backs is twofold. First, very few backup running backs are capable of producing anywhere near the level of the starter. Second, we are far worse than we think at predicting who exactly will benefit from an injury to the starter.

I will be the first to admit I had Allen pegged as one of the better handcuffs of the 2024 season. The Jets lacked a clear RB2, and Allen was a pretty solid prospect with early Day 3 draft capital.

Things were looking good in the beginning. As early as Week 2, Allen started seeing an increase in playing time. From Weeks 2-6, Allen averaged 10.25 opportunities per game. That’s not an insignificant workload for a rookie backing up what many believed to be one of the best running backs in the NFL.

Surely, if Hall ever missed a game, Allen would step right into the starter’s role and be a must-start in fantasy. He won’t produce quite at Hall’s level, but he’d at least be a strong RB2.

Hall wound up missing the Jets’ Week 14 game. Allen got the start, but he was in a near-even timeshare with fellow rookie Isaiah Davis. Both saw exactly 11 opportunities, but it was Davis who was the better fantasy start, as he was the one to score. Fantasy managers stashed Allen all season and got one week of 12.3 fantasy points (no one started him in Week 2 when he stole two Hall touchdowns and scored his season high of 19.6).

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This year, Allen enters the season as the RB2 behind Hall. However, his ADP is RB53, while Davis is down at RB83. I’m not saying I’m out here ranking Davis and Allen the same, or that anyone should draft Davis. But if Hall were to miss time, what reason do we have to think the outcome would be any different?

Now, that’s the argument against Allen as a clear handcuff to Hall. There is another compelling reason to draft Allen far ahead of Davis. There’s a legitimate chance Allen has some standalone value.

I have Allen ranked at RB45, considerably above consensus. While Allen’s upside feels more speculative than a lot of the guys around him, I am open to a world where he ends up being a 40% snap share player with goal line work, giving him standalone RB3 value. Therefore, he’s more valuable than the pure handcuffs.

Frank Ammirante’s Braelon Allen Fantasy Projection

Braelon Allen rushed for only 334 yards on 92 carries, averaging 3.6 yards per carry with two touchdowns. The rookie fourth-rounder took a clear backseat to Breece Hall.

However, new head coach and former Lions’ defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn wants to bring Detroit’s backfield usage of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to the Jets. That would leave Allen in the Montgomery role, where he can be the primary ballcarrier in the red zone.

This gives the second year back some standalone value in addition to a high ceiling if Hall were to miss time. However, we should note that in this scenario, Isaiah Davis would also factor into the backfield, so it’s not like Allen would be a bellcow.

All reports out of camp have been positive for Allen, making him one of my favorite late-round running backs in fantasy drafts. I’d rather pass on Hall in the third or fourth and wait for Allen as an upside stash several rounds later. This is a powerful back who can make an impact between-the-tackles.

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