Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer Week 10: D’Andre Swift, Josh Jacobs, Cordarrelle Patterson, and More

    As we look into the fantasy football trade analyzer for Week 10, let's examine the buy-low potential of D'Andre Swift, Josh Jacobs, and more.

    With the first game of Week 10 in the books, let’s take a look at the fantasy football trade analyzer to see who might be a buy-low or sell-high candidate. Trade deadlines for fantasy football coming up fast, time is running out to make those major improvements to rosters.

    Let’s examine the contrasting value of the likes of Cordarrelle Patterson and D’Onta Foreman, as well as looking why you should consider trading for D’Andre Swift or Josh Jacobs ahead of Week 10.

    Week 10 Trade Analyzer | Players to Trade For Include D’Andre Swift & Josh Jacobs

    While the primary purpose of this article is to help you make trades in your season-long leads, it can also help you in Best Ball leagues on Underdog Fantasy. The names below are players that might be over or undervalued in those drafts.

    If you are joining those leagues or looking for other players to target, then check out the Week 10 fantasy football rest-of-season rankings. Every week, Senior Fantasy Analyst Tommy Garrett takes stock of the various values around the league.

    D’Andre Swift, RB | DET

    It has been a really frustrating season for anyone who drafted Swift. As he opens Week 10 with two limited participation in practice, fantasy managers may very well be reaching the end of their patience with the Lions RB. In Week 9, Swift saw his snap share drop from 55% in Week 8 to 16% after struggling all week in practice.

    However, we are now coming out of the window where the ankle and shoulder issues should still be impacting Swift. Therefore, if your team is trending toward the playoffs, Swift could be an intriguing player to consider investing in. At this point, you likely just need to offer an option that can contribute immediately to his current fantasy manager, especially if they are fighting to stay in the playoff hunt.

    MORE: Week 10 RB Rankings

    We saw at the start of the season how electric Swift can be. In those first two weeks, he rushed for 200 yards, added 62 receiving yards on just five receptions, and found the end zone twice. Since then, he has been heavily limited, and we have not seen him hitting that potential. As he gets healthier, that game-breaking ability should return.

    The big risk here is that Swift could be on the verge of being shut down by the Lions. Entering Week 10, Detroit is 2-6 with a limited window with which to make anything of this season. However, with games against the Chicago Bears, New York Giants, Jacksonville Jaguars, Carolina Panthers, and Green Bay Packers on the horizon, there is a path to them making the playoffs, which would keep Swift active down the stretch.

    Additionally, head coach Dan Campbell is likely fighting for his job. Therefore, he will be hesitant to shut down Swift if he can avoid it. That decision might be taken out of his hands, but this situation is complicated enough that trading for Swift offers enough potential upside to be worth the risk.

    Josh Jacobs, RB | LV

    It has been a tough couple of weeks for Jacobs, who has 110 rushing yards from 27 attempts and 31 receiving yards from five receptions on seven targets. That comes off the back of weeks where he averaged over 145 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards, with a total of six touchdowns.

    What may have his fantasy managers further concerned is that his snap counts are down. After seeing 80% or more of the offensive snaps in each of the previous three weeks, that has dropped to 55% and 69% since then. However, he continues to see the majority of the rushing work, over 75% of the rushing attempts and yards.

    The drop in snaps for Jacobs is due to him being off the field more in passing situations in those games. He went from seeing over 65% of the passing-down snaps to 41.9% and 57.9%, respectively. A part of that is that the Raiders were trailing for nearly all of Week 7 and then late in the game in Week 8.

    MORE: Week 10 PPR Rankings

    The next two weeks see the Raiders face the Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos. Those are both games in which they have a great chance to either have a lead or at least keep it close. Then the Raiders are in games where they trail by three or fewer points through to a lead of 10 points he has played 79% or more of the offensive snaps.

    When it comes to rushing attempts and yards, in games where they are within three points or have a lead of up to 17 points, Jacobs has 80% or more of the carries and rushing yards. Therefore, there is every chance we see Jacobs bounce back this week.

    In the game against the Colts this week, there is a chance the buy-low window slams shut. Indianapolis has allowed more than 20 fantasy points to RBs in four of their last six games. If not, then in Week 11, they face a Broncos team that has allowed over 20 fantasy points in four of their last five games and 19.3 fantasy points in the other game.

    Cordarrelle Patterson, RB | ATL

    Coming off Thursday Night Football, there are naturally some concerns about the fantasy value of Patterson. He had just five rushing attempts, splitting carries with Caleb Huntley, Tyler Allgeier, and Avery Williams. That group split 22 rushing attempts between them, with Patterson seeing just 22.7% of them.

    There are a few potential reasons for this reduction in rushing work for Patterson this week. His previous low in terms of rushing attempts per snap came in Week 2 when the Falcons trailed the Rams for a significant portion of the game. This was another game in which the Falcons trailed, and his rushing attempt to snap percentage dropped down to 22.7%, his lowest of the season.

    MORE: Week 10 Red-Zone Attempts

    Patterson’s percentage of offensive snaps drops from 45% and above in situations where the Falcons either lead or trail by up to 10 points to 35.3% when they trail by 11 to 17 points and 18.2% when they trail by 18 to 24 points. Therefore, when the Falcons have trailed by more than 10 points, Patterson has seen less time on the field and a smaller percentage of rushing attempts (<27.5% compared to >40%).

    Additionally, this was the second game in five days since Patterson returned from his knee surgery. For that reason, it is not a surprise to see the Falcons limit Patterson’s snaps somewhat. However, it was surprising to see them using him on kickoff returns for the first time since Week 2. It may be that the Falcons felt he could have the biggest impact on a limited snap count by returning kicks in this particular game.

    While there is a clear effort from the Falcons to share the workload, Patterson is still seemingly the primary red-zone and goal-line back, giving him an intriguing ceiling on weekly basis. Coming off this performance in the spotlight of a nationally televised game, there may be an opportunity to buy low from a frustrated fantasy manager.

    Players to Sell High Include D’Onta Foreman and Curtis Samuel

    D’Onta Foreman, RB | CAR

    Foreman was part of this article last week as a sell-high candidate, and coming off a 130-yard rushing performance in Week 10, that situation is still the case. Foreman carried the ball 31 times, averaging 4.2 rushing yards per attempt. He dominated rushing attempts and led the position in terms of snaps with 45 (68%) compared to 12 (18%) for Chuba Hubbard and 8 (12%) for Raheem Blackshear.

    Since Christian McCaffrey was traded, Foreman has dominated the early-down snaps, with a 64.3% snap share on first down and 68.6% on second down. However, on third and fourth-down, his snap share has dropped below 35%.

    It is also important to note that in games where Hubbard has played (Weeks 7 and 10), Foreman’s snap share has increased the bigger the lead for the Panthers has been. When those games have been within three points, either way, Foreman has seen 51% of the snaps. That rises to 61.7% when they lead by 4 to 10 points, 80% when the lead is 11 to 17 points, and 100% when the lead is 18 to 24 points.

    MORE: Week 10 RB Start/Sit Advice

    In games since McCaffrey left, where both Foreman and Hubbard are on the field, we have yet to see them trailing significantly. However, we have seen Foreman’s snaps decrease in third-down situations, suggesting that in games where Hubbard is available and the Panthers are trailing by more than three points, we may see this balance switch back toward Hubbard.

    Additionally, Week 10 was Hubbard’s first game back after missing the previous two weeks. With the Panthers having a lead, they did not need to lean on him heavily. In Week 7, before Hubbard’s injury, he out-carried Foreman seven to two in the first half. While Foreman has certainly earned a bigger role than that, there is every chance we see this snap share even out in the coming weeks.

    Therefore, now might be the peak of Foreman’s value for the 2022 NFL season. If you can get solid starting value or package Foreman with another player to get an elite RB in return, then that might be a move worth making coming off this game.

    Curtis Samuel, WR | WAS

    The situation in Washington has been a little bit all over the place in recent weeks, leading to uncertainty. That has heavily impacted the value of Curtis Samuel over the past two weeks. In the first seven weeks, Samuel was averaging 8.3 targets per game. However, in the past two weeks, that has dropped to four targets per game.

    In Weeks 7 and 8, we had seen him get nine rushing attempts for 55 yards. However, that dropped to just one rushing attempt in Week 9. Samuel finished the game with 81 total yards and a touchdown for 14.1 fantasy points in non-PPR.

    MORE: Week 10 Fantasy IR Updates

    Of those fantasy points, 10.9 came on one play, when he scored a 49-yard touchdown that was thrown into heavy coverage and was impacted by an official colliding with a defender. The offense with Taylor Heinicke has looked significantly different, and it seems likely he could remain in the role for a few more weeks.

    Therefore, coming off a performance where Samuel scored 75% of his fantasy points on one play, now might very well be the time to sell. He has gone from seeing consistent double-digit opportunities to averaging 7.7 per game in the past six weeks. That drop in opportunities has seen him struggle to provide consistent starting fantasy value.

    Data courtesy of TruMedia and Pro Football Reference

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