With a historically QB-rich class looming in the 2025 NFL Draft, all eyes are on names like Shedeur Sanders and Carson Beck. Yet, quietly climbing the ranks is Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart, who has steadily transformed from an overlooked USC transfer into college football’s gritty superstar.
But can Dart actually shake up the draft order and make it into the top ten picks? According to former NFL QB Dan Orlovsky, the answer isn’t just yes—it’s an emphatic yes.
Dan Orlovsky’s Surprising Forecast for Jaxson Dart
When evaluating quarterback prospects, former NFL QB Dan Orlovsky is known for precise observations and rarely offers hyperbolic praise. Yet, speaking recently on ESPN’s draft special, Orlovsky’s conviction in Dart was startlingly emphatic.
“There’s so much about Jaxson Dart that I love, and the more you watch him, the more you like,” Orlovsky explained. “He’s a bull when he runs the ball, and there wasn’t a lot of easy in that Ole Miss offense.”
Orlovsky elaborated further, dropping a bold prediction that’s now gaining traction across draft circles: “I’m a Jaxson Dart guy, and I don’t think that he makes it out of the top ten.”
"I'm a Jaxson Dart guy and I don't think that he makes it out of the top ten..
He sees it well and he can throw it"@danorlovsky7 #PMSLive https://t.co/VrMqdrVMZp pic.twitter.com/DS5yX139Iz
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) April 3, 2025
Over the past year, Jaxson Dart has risen from relative obscurity to become one of the elite quarterbacks in the SEC. Scouts initially had concerns about his consistency, especially after a rocky transition from USC to Lane Kiffin’s complex offense at Ole Miss.
However, Dart silenced critics by thriving in an offense that demanded toughness, mobility, and quick decision-making—traits highly valued by NFL scouts. His resilience and steady improvement have turned him into one of the most talked-about prospects, earning praise from former NFL QB Dan Orlovsky and solidifying his status among top-tier NFL prospects.
The statistics and gameplay from Dart’s 2024 season strongly back Orlovsky’s assessment. Dart completed 69.3% of his passes for 4,279 yards, 29 touchdowns, and only six interceptions, earning a QBR of 86.3, which ranked fourth nationally—numbers that hint at Josh Allen-lite potential. While Dart may not be as physically dominant as Allen, his fearless style and mobility are reminiscent of the Bills’ QB.
In the 2023 season, Dart threw for over 3,600 yards and 28 touchdowns, showcasing accuracy, pocket awareness, and impressive arm strength. His ability to stay composed under pressure, combined with his knack for converting crucial third downs, paints the picture of a quarterback ready for the NFL.
Several NFL teams have shown interest in Dart. The New York Jets, holding the seventh overall pick, are reportedly enamored with him, viewing him as a potential long-term solution at quarterback. Similarly, the New Orleans Saints, with the ninth pick, have been linked to Dart, especially after head coach Kellen Moore attended his pro day.
NFL Scouts Agree with Dan Orlovsky’s Dart Assessment
Multiple early mock drafts subtly hinted at Dart’s rising stock, positioning him as a dark-horse candidate for the first round. However, Dan Orlovsky’s outspoken endorsement has significantly amplified Dart’s profile. Orlovsky highlighted Dart’s key attributes: toughness in the pocket, above-average athleticism, excellent vision, and a strong NFL-caliber arm.
“He sees it well, and he can throw it,” Orlovsky added confidently, aligning his expert insight with what scouts from multiple NFL teams have privately noted.
Analysts often draw comparisons when evaluating QB talent, and Jaxson Dart’s style bears similarities to that of Dak Prescott. Dart’s toughness and running ability emphasize his willingness to absorb contact, fight for extra yards, and lead by example—traits highly valued by pro-level coaching staffs.
Dart’s rise mirrors that of quarterbacks like Will Levis, who also transferred (from Penn State to Kentucky) and spent time developing before becoming a high draft pick. Dart’s move from USC to Ole Miss wasn’t just about finding a new system—it was about growth. And it’s paid off.
Another notable comparison is Bo Nix, who revitalized his career after transferring from Auburn to Oregon and ultimately became a first-round pick in 2024. Like Nix, Dart is betting on himself by returning for his senior season rather than entering a crowded QB class early.