If you’re looking for early Week 10 DFS targets before crafting your lineups, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess which player on each team has a great shot at outproducing expectations. Some of these guys will be pricey for good reasons. Others might be cheap, high-upside bargains.
Favorite Week 10 Undervalued DFS Targets
Last week, I made some ugly recommendations and some that played out. The ugly? Pushing guys like D’Andre Swift, Aaron Jones, and Josh Allen. Went deep with some other picks like the Bucs D/ST (which fell short of my 15+ point expectation) and the normally reliable Younghoe Koo.
I also recommended Chase McLaughlin as the only Colt I’d trust in DFS based on value. While he scored only three points, in fairness, he was the third-best DFS value among all Indy players in their blowout loss to the Patriots.
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Also in fairness, last week’s column hit a lot, including pushing the high-priced Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Fields, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Kenneth Walker III, as well as betting on rebounds for recent underperformers like Christian Kirk.
And anticipating a blowout loss for Carolina against the Bengals, I advised readers to go cheap with Terrace Marshall Jr., assuming a “pass-heavy second half that continues to target Marshall.” He scored his first NFL TD in garbage time midway through the fourth.
The following recommended Week 10 fantasy football DFS targets (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aim to lock in relatively high floors while maximizing upside, identifying one player for each team.
Thursday Night Football
Panthers vs. Falcons. A rematch of an incredible game, which might prove to be even more incredible if Atlanta somehow wins the NFC South.
For Carolina, I’d continue to bet on Marshall given the uncertainty surrounding D’Onta Foreman’s bell-cow standing.
And for Atlanta, the backfield remains both vibrant and murky, which sounds like an oxymoron. But hopefully, you get my point. I’d bet on Marcus Mariota, despite his steep price tag, to net another 20+ points against his divisional rival.
Sunday Munich Game
A 9:30 a.m. Eastern start time for the Buccaneers vs. the Seahawks. Leonard Fournette has averaged only 2.9 yards per carry since Week 2. At what point will Tampa Bay — a seemingly practical franchise, whatever-it-takes-to-win franchise — give Rachaad White more run? Unless/until that happens, I’m comfortable betting on Mike Evans to rebound.
For Seattle, it’s still Walker or bust. We could get cute with a cheaper tight end or even Geno Smith. But I’m sticking with Walker.
Sunday 1 p.m. ET Games
Bills vs. Vikings
Game of the week? Maybe we should roll with Devin Singletary with Josh Allen. Or maybe not, because a solid 8-12 points won’t cut it unless Singletary magically drops to $4,000 in DFS. No, we’ll go with Allen, steep price and all.
And T.J. Hockenson probably will be too pricey at this stage. So let’s angle toward Adam Thielen, in the belief Buffalo will get Tre’Davious White back. I love Thielen’s red-zone success in recent years. Based on value, he’s my favorite Minnesota option.
Bears vs. Lions
Justin Fields. Period.
And much depends on D’Andre Swift’s role, and whether we can count on 20+ touches for the usually cheaper Jamaal Williams. For now, I’m picking the same guy I recommended to PFN Facebook readers this past weekend: rookie James Mitchell. Super affordable, and a decent bet for 7+ points. Getting him into your lineup will give you the flexibility to snag almost anyone else you want.
Titans vs. Broncos
Derrick Henry. Period. Seriously, this might be the most one-dimensional offense in NFL history, as Henry accounts for 46% of the Titans’ offensive yards.
For Denver, let’s roll again with Greg Dulcich. He’s the real deal — another rookie TE with hands of soft steel and (I can only imagine) a heart of gold.
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Which of Kansas City’s half-dozen or more WRs will get the most points? And can we safely invest in Jerick McKinnon? For now, I’d have to roll with Patrick Mahomes. Boring choice, but also a likely 25+ point choice.
And Etienne again. As long as he keeps catching balls, his value will rival just about any other RBs.
Dolphins vs. Browns
Assuming Jeff Wilson Jr. has priced himself out of “bargain” territory, I’d suggest Tagovailoa again. Exceptional and safe.
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And should we trust the expensive Nick Chubb once again? I prefer Amari Cooper — slightly cheaper, and with monster upside against one of the league’s least-effective pass defenses.
Giants vs. Texans
Let’s not overcomplicate it. Saquon Barkley or bust. The same goes for Dameon Pierce. These are two teams with elite rushers and vulnerable run defenses. While the Giants have been more battle-tested against the run, Pierce should get enough volume to be their best DFS bargain.
And a reminder that “bargain” suggests no other Texan will exceed Pierce’s DFS-points-per-$1,000. While we might bet on the marginally cheaper Phillip Dorsett or Chris Moore, I believe Pierce will at least double their output.
Steelers vs. Saints
The pretty expensive George Pickens (with Chase Claypool gone) or the much cheaper “when-will-he-start” Jaylen Warren? I’m leaning toward the safer Pickens, assuming a minimum 5-65 receiving line.
And it’s hard to rationalize betting against Alvin Kamara. So let’s stick with him.
Sunday 4 p.m. ET Games
There are three games on this docket featuring, yes, six teams. Here’s the rundown of the best DFS bargains, regardless of price.
Raiders vs. Colts
Davante Adams. We could get cute with Mack Hollins or Hunter Renfrow. But the most expensive Adams delivers maximum upside.
And I can’t trust any Indy RB at his DFS price. That leaves Alec Pierce, who’s more affordable than Michael Pittman, and with the talent to reel in 6+ catches against the Raiders’ porous defense.
Packers vs. Cowboys
Will Aaron Jones play, and how might that factor into AJ Dillon’s usage and DFS pricing? There’s a lot up in the air here. I’d roll with the quite cheap Robert Tonyan, in the belief Dallas will mostly shut down Green Bay’s wideouts.
And I’m all in on Tony Pollard if Ezekiel Elliott sits. If Elliott returns to a defined role, then the cheaper Dalton Schultz delivers exceptional value and upside given his affordability.
Rams vs. Cardinals
Cooper Kupp. Period. And I’m wary of reaching for any Arizona RB. Zach Ertz brings an intriguing balance of targets and touchdown potential.
Sunday Night Football
For the 49ers vs. Chargers, I’m very comfortable betting on Christian McCaffrey for 24+ points. Another statement game against one of the weakest run defenses.
And I’m not sure how we veer away from Austin Ekeler. Josh Palmer probably will be pricey after his Week 9 outburst, and with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams still hobbled. But if Michael Bandy is at least 5x cheaper than Ekeler, then I’d go with Bandy and hope for 5+ points, which could give him the most Week 10 DFS value on the team.
Monday Night Football
Finally, for the Eagles vs. Commanders, can we eke out value from Kenneth Gainwell or Boston Scott? In a blowout or even a comfortable win, absolutely. But we could also see a two-TD evening from AJ Brown or DeVonta Smith.
And of course, almost no one has the ceiling of Jalen Hurts. So when it comes to best bargains, the expensive Hurts wins for me. He has strong 26+ points potential.
For Washington, with Logan Thomas scuffling, there are essentially five players to choose from, unless we think Dax Milne will score again (unlikely). Assuming they’re playing from behind most of the game, I’m picking Terry McLaurin as the best bargain, with Taylor Heinicke looking his way often in the second half.
Good luck with all of your DFS selections this week.
