The last time the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys faced off, they combined for 51 points, and CeeDee Lamb had a career-high in receiving yards, finishing the game with 191. When making your player prop bets for Eagles vs. Cowboys, should you expect Lamb and other stars, such as A.J. Brown, to have big performances? Let’s take a look at our favorite Eagles vs. Cowboys player prop bets.
Top Eagles vs. Cowboys Player Prop Bets
D’Andre Swift Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Blewis:Â I feel like I give out D’Andre Swift overs every week, and although it never came close to hitting last week, I’m going to run it back.
The Eagles have greatly missed Dallas Goedert, not just in the passing game, but as a run blocker too. He will be making his return in this one after a three-game absence, which should be a big boost for Swift’s production.
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This is also a narrative play after there has been much criticism of the Eagles’ lack of rushing attempts after last week and the coaching staff acknowledging they need to run the ball more.
Given how tired their defense is after this gauntlet of a schedule and the fact the Eagles are at a major rest disadvantage in this spot, it would suit them well to try and establish the run and keep Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense off the field. Against a Cowboys defense that is 30th in success rate in defending the run, this could very well be part of the game plan.
Soppe: Fully onboard with Brian! Swift has at least 55 rushing yards in eight of nine Eagles wins since he took over the lead role. That’s a nice trend that is hurt a little bit by the lone exception being the first game against the Cowboys, but trust the process. In that game, Philadelphia gave its running backs 23 carries (18 for Swift) — if you give me usage anywhere near that, I’m happy to take my chances.
Swift has a 20+ yard run in five of those nine games, a level of per-carry upside that could get us 40% home for his rushing prop! Oh, and by the way, he checks the boxes you need:
Players averaging at least 3.0 yards per carry before contact (min. 100 carries)
- Lamar Jackson: 3.9
- Raheem Mostert: 3.7
- D’Andre Swift: 3.4
- Bijan Robinson: 3.2
- Isiah Pacheco: 3.1
- Jalen Hurts: 3.0
Players with at least a dozen broken tackles (min. 100 carries)
- Travis Etienne: 19
- Najee Harris: 17
- David Montgomery: 15
- D’Andre Swift: 14
- Brain Robinson: 13
- Isiah Pacheco: 12
A.J. Brown Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Blewis:Â Even coming off his first 100+ yard performance since October, this feels like a nice buy-low spot for Brown.
In three games without Goedert, Brown had two of his three worst games in terms of receiving yards for the season. Even with Goedert, the Eagles are really top-heavy at the skill positions, so taking away their tight end made it easier for opponents to dare Jalen Hurts to throw to anyone but Brown or DeVonta Smith.
The Eagles love taking their deep shots downfield, and I could see them trying to take advantage of the DaRon Bland matchup like the Seahawks did with DK Metcalf just last week.
Dallas Goedert Over 3.5 Receptions (+100 at DraftKings)
Soppe: The Cowboys’ defense can get to the quarterback and owns the ninth-lowest opponent aDOT this season, making this short passing game very important for Philadelphia in this spot.
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Enter Goedert, the Pro Bowl tight end who was injured when these teams last met. The Eagles opted not to put him on injured reserve, indicating that they had this game circled for his return from the jump (had he been placed on IR, he would have been ineligible to play in this potentially season-altering game).
His aDOT is less than half of either starting Philadelphia receiver, and he pulled in at least four passes in four straight games (and in six of seven) prior to getting dinged up.
Dak Prescott Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+158 at FanDuel)
Blewis:Â Dak Prescott has been an unstoppable force at home this season, averaging 309 passing yards per game, with a 126.8 QB rating and 18 TDs in six games. That’s an average of three passing touchdowns per game, yet we’re getting this good of value on him to at least match that number?
The Eagles are tied with the Commanders for allowing the most passing touchdowns this season, and Dak threw for three touchdowns the last time they played. He even could’ve thrown for five if not for two completions falling just short of the end zone.
Once again, the Eagles are at a major rest disadvantage, as the Cowboys just played on Thursday Night Football last week. The Eagles have four starters in the secondary who are over 30 years old, which doesn’t bode well for such a scenario, and virtually all of their other defensive backs are really inexperienced.
It also doesn’t help that for most of the game, the Eagles’ defensive line struggled to put pressure on Dak last time.
Tony Pollard Under 14.5 Rush Attempts (+100 at BetMGM)
Katz: A few weeks ago, the Cowboys decided to abandon the run completely. Over the past month or so, they lead the NFL in neutral game-script pass rate. On the season, they have a 63% neutral-game-script pass rate, third in the league. All the Cowboys do is throw the ball.
When the Cowboys last played the Eagles, it was a close, hard-fought loss. Prescott attempted 44 passes. Tony Pollard handled just 12 carries. The Eagles are a massive pass-funnel defense. They have the worst pass defense in the league but are quite good against the run.
The Cowboys simply aren’t going to force-feed Pollard carries for the sake of doing so. Passing has been working. It is how you beat the Eagles. As a result, Pollard should once again be limited to 10-12 carries.
CeeDee Lamb 100+ Receiving Yards (+120 at ESPN BET)
Blewis:Â CeeDee Lamb had nearly 200 receiving yards when these two teams last played a few weeks ago. Although their top nickel corner, Bradley Roby, wasn’t active, it’s not like he is capable of shutting down Lamb when he’s in the slot.
While he might not have 191 receiving yards again, this sets up as a smash spot for Lamb. Only the Commanders have allowed more yards to wide receivers this year than the Eagles, and the Cowboys offense is nearly unstoppable at home.
It would be shocking to me if Lamb doesn’t have a monster game in this one.
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