The AFC’s No. 1 seed is on the line as the Miami Dolphins square off with the Baltimore Ravens in M&T Bank Stadium. This Week 17 game should be full of exciting back-and-forth football as the two best teams in the conference battle. Ahead of kickoff, our NFL betting experts give their top Dolphins vs. Ravens predictions and picks as they peruse the latest betting lines and odds.
Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Lines
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- Spread
Ravens -3.5 - Moneyline
Dolphins +150, Ravens -175 - Total
46.5
Dolphins vs. Ravens Predictions and Expert Picks
David Bearman: When I wrote the first draft originally on Sunday night, I wrongfully assumed the Ravens would be beat down by the big, bad San Francisco 49ers on Monday night. Boy was I wrong.
After playing, they will, on short rest, fly back across the country and play the 11-4 Dolphins. Miami got the monkey off their back by beating the 10-win Dallas Cowboys on Sunday and have a chance to take over the No. 1 seed.
It should be a close one in a place where Miami does not have a lot of success, but in this scenario, I lean on taking the points. The Ravens right now are as good as anyone, but will short rest and travel hurt? Soft lean.
Pick: Lean Miami +3.5
Ben Rolfe: The Ravens were extremely impressive on Monday, and there is no time for a let-down game with the AFC’s No. 1 seed on the line. The shorter rest is not ideal, but we are only talking about a day, and the Dolphins had a far more intense game on Sunday than the Ravens ended up having on Monday.
The Dolphins away from home have been fallible this year with a 4-3 record compared to 7-1 at home. When you look at their road losses, they are to the Buffalo Bills, Philadelphia Eagles, and Kansas City Chiefs. That is three good teams who can slow down the Dolphins’ offense and take advantage of their defensive faults. Give me the Ravens getting 3.5.
Pick:Â Ravens -3.5
Ryan Gosling:Â Arguably the best game of the week features two AFC powerhouses when the Ravens take on the Dolphins. Miami is coming off of a last-second win against Dallas which helped bring this spread down to just a field goal.
However, I have not forgotten the narrative that the Dolphins cannot beat good teams, and the reality is that last week didn’t change that for me. Dallas is a deeply flawed squad, and Miami needed every second (and some questionable calls) to squeeze out that victory.
MORE: NFL Week 17 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread
Now, they need to travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens who just dismantled the 49ers. I would have been worried about a letdown spot here, but after that win and with the AFC on the line, I cannot see how a John Harbaugh-coached team won’t get up for this one.
The Dolphins will be without WR Jaylen Waddle, which should allow Baltimore to scheme better against Tyreek Hill. The Ravens are also the best blitzing team in the league, and Miami’s offensive line is beyond banged up.
The Ravens get the win, and Lamar Jackson locks up the MVP award in Week 17.
Pick:Â Baltimore Ravens -3 (-120 at ESPN BET)
Kyle Soppe: This feels like stepping in front of an oncoming bus, but this is a tough spot for Miami’s WR1. Waddle has been ruled out, and while that could result in even more targets being funneled toward Hill, any gains from that spike in volume figures to be offset by increased attention from arguably the best defense on the planet.
The Ravens have had their moments of weakness, but they’ve proven more than capable of locking down an alpha WR1.
- Deebo Samuel: 3.9 yards/target vs BAL (otherwise: 11.4)
- Ja’Marr Chase: 2.9 yards/target vs BAL (otherwise: 9.5)
- Calvin Ridley: 3.3 yards/target vs BAL (otherwise: 7.8)
The Ravens rank seventh in average time of possession this season, and if they can limit the play count, Hill could be in a tough spot to live up to expectations.
Pick: Tyreek Hill under 92.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Jason Katz: It goes without saying — any long shot like this is expected to lose. The point in taking something like Braxton Berrios at +800 is that if we find lines like this consistently, in the long run, we will profit. I believe this line is not reflective of Berrios’ true chances to score.
Although Berrios only has one touchdown on the season, he’s been on the field consistently as the team’s WR3/4. He was the WR3 early in the season but has since ceded that role to Cedrick Wilson Jr.
With Waddle out, Berrios is set to operate as the primary slot receiver. He will be on the field in three-receiver sets. In a potentially high-scoring game against the Ravens, who you know are going to key in on Hill. Berrios’ odds reflect his chances if Waddle were active. We’re getting a good price here, so let’s take it and hope Berrios finds the end zone.
Pick:Â Braxton Berrios anytime touchdown (+800 at FanDuel)
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