Davis Mills Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings

    Likely set for a backup role, what does Davis Mills' future look like, and what is his value in dynasty fantasy football leagues going forward?

    As we inch toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of Davis Mills.

    Davis Mills’ Dynasty Outlook and Value

    After the Tyrod Taylor experiment failed in 2021, the Texans rolled with rookie third-rounder Mills for the remainder of the season. He acquitted himself well enough to earn an extended audition in 2022.

    With that said, 2022 was always going to be a rebuilding year for the Texans. With a weak rookie QB class and no real logic behind signing a veteran, Houston elected to see what they had with Mills. Well, it didn’t exactly work out.

    Mills wound up making 15 starts. The reason he didn’t start all 17 games was that he was briefly benched for Kyle Allen. Suffice it to say the 2022 season didn’t go well.

    Mills averaged 13.1 fantasy points per game as a starter. It was only a 0.3 ppg increase from his rookie season. He threw for 3,118 yards and 17 touchdowns. Mills also led the NFL with 15 interceptions.

    The threshold for what fantasy managers will accept from a guy like Mills is obviously much lower than most quarterbacks. Unfortunately, he couldn’t even reach low expectations.

    MORE: Top Quarterback Dynasty Rankings

    Mills recorded 16 fantasy points just three times all season, with one of those instances coming in a meaningless Week 18.

    I can say with 100% confidence that Mills will not be the Texans’ starting quarterback in 2023. It’s time for Houston to draft their quarterback of the future. That doesn’t mean they’ll get it correct. But they’re going to try.

    The Texans handed the No. 1 overall pick to the Bears when they defeated the Colts on a last-second two-point conversion in Week 18. Now, they will either have to settle for the second-best quarterback in the draft or pay up to rectify their mistake.

    Either way, it would be a major upset if the Texans’ Week 1 starting QB was someone other than Bryce Young or C.J. Stroud.

    Davis Mills’ Fantasy Ranking

    Mills has performed well enough to warrant a spot in the NFL. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if he had a 10+ year career as a backup, occasionally making spot starts. He strikes me as a Chad Henne type. He can never be the guy, but if you need Mills to step up for a couple of games and hold down the fort, he can do it.

    In 1QB dynasty leagues, Mills doesn’t need to be on rosters. Even in deeper leagues where every starting quarterback is rostered, Mills can be left on the waiver wire. He won’t be a starting quarterback in 2023.

    In Superflex leagues, any starting QB has value. Sixty-eight different quarterbacks made starts last season, including some wild names that will be fun trivia answers in a few years.

    There’s a decent shot Mills will end up making starts for someone in the future. We have him at QB37 (No. 185 overall) in our dynasty Superflex rankings. So, in deeper Superflex leagues, he remains a back-of-the-bench stash for now. There’s no reason to target him in dynasty startup drafts, but he will be drafted by someone.

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