Going from facing one of the league’s best defenses (49ers) to one of the league’s worst (Seahawks) could prove beneficial for New York Giants TE Darren Waller. But will it be enough to put him over some of his prop numbers for this week?
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Waller Week 4 Player Props
All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Receiving Yards: 48.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 4.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +195
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1100
Waller Betting Trends and Stats
Last season, the Seahawks defense allowed the most receiving yards by opposing tight ends in the NFL (1,115).
Waller Best Bet
If there is one player Daniel Jones needs on the field with him, it’s Waller. Waller leads the team in targets (20), receptions (12), and receiving yards (132) and has caught at least three passes in all three games this season.
When the Giants faced a subpar defense like the Cardinals two weeks ago, Waller had season highs in receptions (6) and yards (76). Is there any reason not to expect similar numbers tonight against a Seattle defense that ranks even worse than the Cardinals when defending the pass?
But while we’re expecting a good game from Waller, it’s difficult to support an over bet on 4.5 receptions. Over the last two seasons, Waller has caught more than four passes in a game just twice, and both times the Cardinals were the opponent.
Yes, the odds for Waller going under 4.5 receptions are not great. And Jones still treats him like his No. 1 pass-catching option.
I have been a person who will take a chance on a prop bet if the odds are favorable. But until Waller reverts to his form from a few years ago, I will accept the poor odds and take the under on his receptions.
Darren Waller Best Bet: Under 4.5 receptions (-135 at DraftKings)