The matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills has the potential to be the best of the entire week, let alone Sunday afternoon. With concerns around the weather in Orchard Park this week, what player props for the Cowboys and Bills players stand out this week as ones to bet?
Top Cowboys vs. Bills Player Prop Bets
Tony Pollard Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at ESPNBet)
Rolfe: This line is really intriguing, given that Tony Pollard has topped 54.5 rushing yards in each of his last five games. We have continued to see a solid level of volume for the Cowboys back in recent weeks to a point where he is getting to that 55-yard mark even if the efficiency is not there.
The Bills’ defense had a good game last week against the Kansas City Chiefs, who were lacking Isiah Pacheco. However, they gave up over 180 rushing yards before their bye week against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys should be able to move the ball on the ground against a Buffalo defense that has had trouble against good rushing attacks at times this season.
Josh Allen Over 0.5 Interceptions (-145 at ESPNBet)
Rolfe: Josh Allen is on pace to set a career-high in interceptions this season. He is already at 14 this season at a rate of 2.9%, having thrown at least one pick in 11 of his 13 games. Allen has not gotten through a game cleanly since Week 4, putting him on a run of nine games with a pick to this point.
This week, he faces a Cowboys defense that loves an interception, with 13 on the season themselves. They only have three in the past four weeks, but if Allen leaves a ball out there, the Cowboys’ defense will be all over it.
If you are feeling spicy, you can go for over 1.5 interceptions at odds of +300. Allen has had two multi-interception games this season, with the last one coming back in Week 10 against the Broncos. The Cowboys’ defense is good enough to potentially force those mistakes multiple times.
Alternatively, you could consider backing the Cowboys’ DST to score, which can be found at +425 over at DraftKings. They have six defensive touchdowns this season, five of which have come courtesy of DaRon Bland. However, it is worth noting that Allen has not thrown a pick-six since 2019, so you are likely looking for a fumble recovery touchdown if you take this bet.
Gosling: One of the surest bets of the season, Josh Allen to throw an interception, is still being offered at a pretty reasonable price. The Bills QB enters Week 15 tied for the league lead in interceptions (14), having thrown at least one in 11 of his 13 starts. He has been picked off at least once in nine consecutive games.
Now, he has to play one of the toughest defenses in the league, which ranks fourth in the NFL in takeaways. This unit has picked off at least one pass in nine of 13 games (69.2%), including four of the last five weeks.
Rico Dowdle Over 16.5 Total Rushing Yards (-115 at DraftKings) and Dowdle To Score a Touchdown (+400 at DraftKings)
Gosling: This line remains the same as it was last week, which is surprising when you consider Rico Dowdle put up 12 carries for 46 yards and one touchdown against the Eagles.
The Eagles’ run defense is obviously not the best, but the Bills are not much better. They are currently allowing 114 rushing yards per game, making them the NFL’s 19th-ranked rush defense. Dowdle is getting more involved in the run game, averaging eight carries per game in his last five starts.
MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor
Yes, Pollard is obviously the RB1 in this offense, but the team continues to feed Dowdle, especially near the goal line, where Pollard has struggled. With a potential eight attempts and an average of 4.1 yards per attempt on the season, I like Dowdle to soar over this low rushing total.
I also think that Dowdle gets in the end zone in this one, especially with +400 odds. The dynamic RB has handled 20.1% of the team’s 373 rushing attempts this season, but more importantly, he has 14 carries in the red zone (16.5% of Dallas’ 85 red-zone rushes).
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